Dustin Poirier vs Justin Gaethje prediction

UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · Sunday, 30 July 2023 · Lightweight · 5 rounds · main event

Dustin PoirierUSAUSA · 30-10-0UFC wins: 11 KO, 4 SUB, 7 DEC
vs
Justin GaethjeUSAUSA · 28-5-0UFC wins: 7 KO, 0 SUB, 4 DEC

Result: Justin Gaethje by KO/TKO, R2 1:00.

Dustin Poirier vs Justin Gaethje: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Dustin PoirierUSATale of the tapeUSAJustin Gaethje
30-10-0Record28-5-0
USANationalityUSA
32UFC fights16
34Age34
175 cmHeight180 cm
183 cmReach178 cm
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
11 / 4 / 7UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC7 / 0 / 4
3 / 4 / 2UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC3 / 2 / 0
5.3Sig. strikes landed per minute6.1
4.6Sig. strikes absorbed per minute6.6
1.2Takedowns per 15 minutes0.4
0.63Knockdowns per 15 minutes0.64

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Dustin Poirier: last UFC fights

Won 3 (75%)Lost 1 (25%)

Justin Gaethje: last UFC fights

Won 2 (67%)Lost 1 (33%)

More from UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.