Max Holloway vs Justin Gaethje prediction

UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · Sunday, 14 April 2024 · Lightweight · 5 rounds · main event

Max HollowayUSAUSA · 28-9-0UFC wins: 12 KO, 2 SUB, 10 DEC
vs
Justin GaethjeUSAUSA · 28-5-0UFC wins: 7 KO, 0 SUB, 4 DEC

Result: Max Holloway by KO/TKO, R5 4:59.

Max Holloway vs Justin Gaethje: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Max HollowayUSATale of the tapeUSAJustin Gaethje
28-9-0Record28-5-0
USANationalityUSA
33UFC fights16
32Age35
180 cmHeight180 cm
175 cmReach178 cm
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
12 / 2 / 10UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC7 / 0 / 4
1 / 1 / 7UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC3 / 2 / 0
6.8Sig. strikes landed per minute6.1
4.6Sig. strikes absorbed per minute6.6
0.3Takedowns per 15 minutes0.4
0.34Knockdowns per 15 minutes0.64

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Max Holloway: last UFC fights

Won 2 (67%)Lost 1 (33%)

Justin Gaethje: last UFC fights

Won 3 (75%)Lost 1 (25%)

More from UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.