Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets prediction
NBA · Saturday, 31 October 2026, 02:00 UK
Denver Nuggets are slight favourites at 57% (Phoenix Suns 43%). Projected score PHX 112-114 DEN: DEN by about 2, 226 points in total. DEN -2.5: 49%. Over 226.5: 49%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 27 Oct 2026, 01:45 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Nuggets rate 3.8 points per game better on our numbers (net +2.8 against −1.0), the biggest input in the prediction.
The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.
Winner
Phoenix Suns 43% (fair odds 2.31)
Denver Nuggets 57% (fair odds 1.76)
Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 6%.
Handicap (DEN)
- DEN -2.549%
- DEN -7.534%
Chance DEN wins by more than the line. Projected margin 2.
Total points
- Over 216.570%
- Over 221.560%
- Over 226.549%
- Over 231.538%
- Over 236.528%
Projected 226, overtime included.
Head to head
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar2026 | Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets | 3528 | 2239 | 3830 | 2828 | 123 125 | |
| 30 Nov2025 | Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets | 2530 | 3533 | 2533 | 2734 | 112 130 | |
| 26 Oct2025 | Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns | 3428 | 3726 | 2929 | 3328 | 133 111 | |
| 08 Mar2025 | Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns | 3728 | 3128 | 3435 | 2334 | 2416 | 149 141 |
| 09 Feb2025 | Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets | 3237 | 2326 | 2635 | 2424 | 105 122 | |
| 26 Dec2024 | Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets | 3834 | 2022 | 2722 | 2522 | 110 100 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | PF | PA | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 3 | 3 | 0 | 363 | 293 | 1.000 |
| 2 | Portland Trail Blazers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 252 | 203 | 1.000 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Lakers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 384 | 345 | 1.000 |
| 4 | Memphis Grizzlies | 3 | 3 | 0 | 357 | 323 | 1.000 |
| 5 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 3 | 3 | 0 | 320 | 289 | 1.000 |
| 6 | Houston Rockets | 3 | 3 | 0 | 363 | 334 | 1.000 |
| 7 | Denver Nuggets | 2 | 1 | 1 | 225 | 231 | .500 |
| 8 | Phoenix Suns | 2 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 246 | .500 |
| 9 | LA Clippers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 339 | 329 | .333 |
| 10 | San Antonio Spurs | 3 | 1 | 2 | 336 | 336 | .333 |
| 11 | Dallas Mavericks | 3 | 1 | 2 | 337 | 355 | .333 |
| 12 | Utah Jazz | 3 | 1 | 2 | 346 | 374 | .333 |
| 13 | New Orleans Pelicans | 3 | 0 | 3 | 374 | 384 | .000 |
| 14 | Golden State Warriors | 3 | 0 | 3 | 335 | 369 | .000 |
| 15 | Sacramento Kings | 3 | 0 | 3 | 328 | 372 | .000 |
Phoenix Suns: last 2 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors | 2225 | 3529 | 4538 | 2930 | 131 122 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns | 4312 | 2927 | 3527 | 1717 | 124 83 |
Denver Nuggets: last 2 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans | 2438 | 3335 | 3235 | 3718 | 159 | 141 135 |
| 23 Oct2026 | Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets | 2427 | 2021 | 2616 | 2620 | 96 84 |
Phoenix Suns at home
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors | 2225 | 3529 | 4538 | 2930 | 131 122 |
Denver Nuggets on the road
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct2026 | Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets | 2427 | 2021 | 2616 | 2620 | 96 84 |
Next games
Phoenix Suns
- 03 Novat Golden State WarriorsPHX 57%
- 05 Novvs Portland Trail Blazers
Denver Nuggets
- 03 Novvs Portland Trail BlazersDEN 55%
- 05 Novvs Toronto Raptors
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets?
- Our model makes Denver Nuggets slight favourites at 57%, with a projected score of PHX 112-114 DEN.
- What is the handicap prediction?
- DEN -2.5 covers 49% of the time on our numbers; DEN is projected to win by about 2.
- Over or under?
- We project 226 total points including overtime. Over 226.5: 49%; under: 51%.
More NBA games
- Washington Wizards vs Charlotte Hornets
- Boston Celtics vs Chicago Bulls
- Brooklyn Nets vs Detroit Pistons
- Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks
- Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic
- Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers
- Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets
- Minnesota Timberwolves vs LA Clippers
- Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.