Max Holloway vs Conor McGregor prediction

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Sunday, 12 July 2026 · Welterweight · 5 rounds · main event

Max Holloway

USA · 28-9-0UFC wins: 12 KO, 2 SUB, 10 DEC

Conor McGregor

Ireland · 22-7-0UFC wins: 8 KO, 0 SUB, 2 DEC

Result: Max Holloway by KO/TKO, R1 1:09.

Max Holloway vs Conor McGregor: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Max Holloway	Tale of the tape	Conor McGregor
28-9-0	Record	22-7-0
USA	Nationality	Ireland
33	UFC fights	15
34	Age	37
180 cm	Height	175 cm
175 cm	Reach	188 cm
Orthodox	Stance	Southpaw
12 / 2 / 10	UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC	8 / 0 / 2
1 / 1 / 7	UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC	3 / 2 / 0
6.8	Sig. strikes landed per minute	5.1
4.6	Sig. strikes absorbed per minute	4.6
0.3	Takedowns per 15 minutes	0.8
0.34	Knockdowns per 15 minutes	1.55

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Max Holloway: last UFC fights

2026-03-08vs Charles Oliveira R5 5:00L DEC
2025-07-20vs Dustin Poirier R5 5:00W DEC
2024-10-26vs Ilia Topuria R3 1:34L KO/TKO
2024-04-14vs Justin Gaethje R5 4:59W KO/TKO
2023-08-26vs Chan Sung Jung R3 0:23W KO/TKO

Won 3 (60%)Lost 2 (40%)

Conor McGregor: last UFC fights

2021-07-11vs Dustin Poirier R1 5:00L KO/TKO
2021-01-24vs Dustin Poirier R2 2:32L KO/TKO
2020-01-19vs Donald Cerrone R1 0:40W KO/TKO
2018-10-07vs Khabib Nurmagomedov R4 3:03L SUB
2016-11-13vs Eddie Alvarez R2 3:04W KO/TKO

Won 2 (40%)Lost 3 (60%)

More from UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.