Kai Kamaka III vs Luke Riley prediction

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · Sunday, 12 July 2026 · Featherweight

Kai Kamaka IIIUSAUSA · 18-9-1UFC wins: 0 KO, 0 SUB, 2 DEC
vs
Luke RileyEnglandEngland · 14-0-0UFC wins: 2 KO, 0 SUB, 1 DEC

Result: Luke Riley by KO/TKO, R1 3:03.

Kai Kamaka III vs Luke Riley: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Kai Kamaka IIIUSATale of the tapeEnglandLuke Riley
18-9-1Record14-0-0
USANationalityEngland
7UFC fights3
31Age27
170 cmHeight175 cm
175 cmReach175 cm
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
0 / 0 / 2UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC2 / 0 / 1
3 / 0 / 1UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC0 / 0 / 0
5.2Sig. strikes landed per minute5.5
5.8Sig. strikes absorbed per minute3.8
1.4Takedowns per 15 minutes0.6
0.21Knockdowns per 15 minutes0.90

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Kai Kamaka III: last UFC fights

Won 2 (50%)Lost 2 (50%)

Luke Riley: last UFC fights

Won 2 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)

More from UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.