Bogdan Grad vs Luke Riley prediction

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · Saturday, 22 November 2025 · Featherweight · main event

Bogdan GradAustriaAustria · 16-4-0UFC wins: 1 KO, 1 SUB, 1 DEC
vs
Luke RileyEnglandEngland · 14-0-0UFC wins: 2 KO, 0 SUB, 1 DECUFC debut

Result: Luke Riley by KO/TKO, R2 0:30.

Bogdan Grad vs Luke Riley: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Bogdan GradAustriaTale of the tapeEnglandLuke Riley
16-4-0Record14-0-0
AustriaNationalityEngland
6UFC fights3
30Age26
173 cmHeight175 cm
178 cmReach175 cm
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
1 / 1 / 1UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC2 / 0 / 1
2 / 0 / 1UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC0 / 0 / 0
4.0Sig. strikes landed per minute5.5
4.7Sig. strikes absorbed per minute3.8
3.9Takedowns per 15 minutes0.6
0.07Knockdowns per 15 minutes0.90

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Bogdan Grad: last UFC fights

Won 2 (50%)Lost 2 (50%)

Luke Riley: last UFC fights

UFC debut.

More from UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.