EC Vitória vs Chapecoense AF 
prediction
Brasileirão Série A · Thu, 8 Oct 2026, 00:00 UK
EC Vitória vs Chapecoense AF prediction (Thu, 8 Oct 2026, 00:00 UK): EC Vitória 50% · Draw 26% · Chapecoense AF 24%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.64–1.06. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 17:01 UK.
Published · Updated
Who will win EC Vitória vs Chapecoense AF?
EC Vitória are favoured at 50%, but the draw and a Chapecoense AF win together still account for 50%. Recent form: EC Vitória LDWLLW, Chapecoense AF DLWLWD (latest first).
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 51% and Under 2.5 is 49%.
| Line | Over | Under | Fair odds (from our probability), Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 goals | 76% | 24% | 1.32 |
| 2.5 goals | 51% | 49% | 1.98 |
| 3.5 goals | 29% | 71% | 3.50 |
What are the fair odds?
Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin.
| Market | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| EC Vitória win | 50% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.91 |
| Chapecoense AF win | 24% | 4.13 |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.98 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.02 |
Form and head-to-head
EC Vitória: last 6
Goals per game: 1.0
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sun, 16 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FT · Brasileirão Série AVitória1 Botafogo0Vitória1–0Botafogo | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 23 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Brasileirão Série AVitória0 Bahia2Vitória0–2Bahia | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 29 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Brasileirão Série A Mineiro2Vitória1Mineiro2–1Vitória | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Tue, 8 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Brasileirão Série AVitória1 Grêmio0Vitória1–0Grêmio | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 13 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Brasileirão Série A Mirassol2Vitória2Mirassol2–2Vitória | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 20 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Brasileirão Série AVitória1 Cruzeiro3Vitória1–3Cruzeiro | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Chapecoense AF: last 6
Goals per game: 1.5
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sun, 16 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT · Brasileirão Série AChapecoense3Bahia3Chapecoense3–3Bahia | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 23 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Brasileirão Série AChapecoense1 São Paulo0Chapecoense1–0São Paulo | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 30 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · Brasileirão Série AGrêmio3Chapecoense1Grêmio3–1Chapecoense | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 6 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Brasileirão Série A Corinthians1Chapecoense2Corinthians1–2Chapecoense | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 12 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Brasileirão Série AChapecoense1 Internacional2Chapecoense1–2Internacional | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 19 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · Brasileirão Série AMineiro1Chapecoense1Mineiro1–1Chapecoense | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Last 1 meetings
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sun, 5 Apr 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT · Brasileirão Série AChapecoense1Vitória1Chapecoense1–1Vitória | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
What are the most likely scores?
Related
- EC Vitória
- Chapecoense AF
- Brasileirão Série A predictions
- Brasileirão Série A Home win
- Brasileirão Série A Over 2.5
- Our accuracy record
Other matches the same day
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Thu, 8 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:30 · Brasileirão Série ABotafogo Vasco da GamaBotafogovVasco da Gama | 54% | 23% | 23% | 60% | O1.5 82% | 82% | 38% | |
| 01:30 · Brasileirão Série ACruzeiroSão PauloCruzeirovSão Paulo | 48% | 28% | 24% | 42% | U3.5 78% | 69% | 22% | |
23:30 · Brasileirão Série A Santos FlamengoSantosvFlamengo | 21% | 24% | 55% | 54% | O1.5 78% | 78% | 32% | |