Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama 
prediction
Brasileirão Série A · Thu, 8 Oct 2026, 00:30 UK
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama prediction (Thu, 8 Oct 2026, 00:30 UK): Botafogo FR 54% · Draw 23% · CR Vasco da Gama 23%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.92–1.18. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 17:01 UK.
Published · Updated
Who will win Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama?
Botafogo FR are clear favourites at 54%, with CR Vasco da Gama at 23%. Recent form: Botafogo FR LWDDLL, CR Vasco da Gama WWLWLL (latest first).
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 60% and Under 2.5 is 40%.
| Line | Over | Under | Fair odds (from our probability), Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 goals | 82% | 18% | 1.22 |
| 2.5 goals | 60% | 40% | 1.67 |
| 3.5 goals | 38% | 62% | 2.66 |
What are the fair odds?
Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin.
| Market | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| Botafogo FR win | 54% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.35 |
| CR Vasco da Gama win | 23% | 4.37 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.50 |
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sat, 12 Jul 2025 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT · Brasileirão Série AVasco da Gama0Botafogo2Vasco da Gama0–2Botafogo | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Wed, 5 Nov 2025 | ||||||||
| FT · Brasileirão Série ABotafogo3Vasco da Gama0Botafogo3–0Vasco da Gama | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 5 Apr 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · Brasileirão Série AVasco da Gama1Botafogo2Vasco da Gama1–2Botafogo | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Botafogo FR — last 6 matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 19 Sept 2026 | Mirassol FC | Away | 0–2 | L |
| Wed, 16 Sept 2026 | Grêmio FBPA | Home | 3–2 | W |
| Sun, 13 Sept 2026 | RB Bragantino | Home | 1–1 | D |
| Sun, 6 Sept 2026 | SE Palmeiras | Home | 0–0 | D |
| Sun, 30 Aug 2026 | CR Flamengo | Away | 0–3 | L |
| Tue, 25 Aug 2026 | CA Paranaense | Home | 2–3 | L |
CR Vasco da Gama — last 6 matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 20 Sept 2026 | Coritiba FBC | Home | 5–0 | W |
| Sat, 12 Sept 2026 | Grêmio FBPA | Away | 2–1 | W |
| Sun, 6 Sept 2026 | Fluminense FC | Away | 0–1 | L |
| Sun, 30 Aug 2026 | Cruzeiro EC | Home | 3–1 | W |
| Sun, 23 Aug 2026 | SE Palmeiras | Away | 1–4 | L |
| Sun, 16 Aug 2026 | Santos FC | Home | 0–3 | L |
What are the most likely scores?
Related
- Botafogo FR
- CR Vasco da Gama
- Brasileirão Série A predictions
- Brasileirão Série A Home win
- Brasileirão Série A Over 2.5
- Our accuracy record
Other matches the same day
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Thu, 8 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:00 · Brasileirão Série A Vitória ChapecoenseVitóriavChapecoense | 50% | 26% | 24% | 51% | O1.5 76% | 76% | 29% | |
01:30 · Brasileirão Série A Cruzeiro São PauloCruzeirovSão Paulo | 48% | 28% | 24% | 42% | U3.5 78% | 69% | 22% | |
23:30 · Brasileirão Série A Santos FlamengoSantosvFlamengo | 21% | 24% | 55% | 54% | O1.5 78% | 78% | 32% | |