Cruzeiro EC vs São Paulo FC 
prediction
Brasileirão Série A · Thu, 8 Oct 2026, 01:30 UK
Cruzeiro EC vs São Paulo FC prediction (Thu, 8 Oct 2026, 01:30 UK): Cruzeiro EC 48% · Draw 28% · São Paulo FC 24%. Over 2.5 goals: 42%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.44–0.94. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 17:01 UK.
Published · Updated
Who will win Cruzeiro EC vs São Paulo FC?
Cruzeiro EC are favoured at 48%, but the draw and a São Paulo FC win together still account for 52%. Recent form: Cruzeiro EC WLWLWW, São Paulo FC WLWWLD (latest first).
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model leans Under 2.5 goals, at 58%; Over 2.5 is 42%.
| Line | Over | Under | Fair odds (from our probability), Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 goals | 69% | 31% | 1.45 |
| 2.5 goals | 42% | 58% | 2.36 |
| 3.5 goals | 22% | 78% | 4.64 |
What are the fair odds?
Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin.
| Market | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro EC win | 48% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 |
| São Paulo FC win | 24% | 4.16 |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 2.36 |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 1.73 |
Form and head-to-head
Cruzeiro EC: last 6
Goals per game: 2.0
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sun, 16 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FT · Brasileirão Série A Corinthians1Cruzeiro2Corinthians1–2Cruzeiro | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 23 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Brasileirão Série ACruzeiro2 Flamengo1Cruzeiro2–1Flamengo | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 30 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Brasileirão Série A Vasco da Gama3Cruzeiro1Vasco da Gama3–1Cruzeiro | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 6 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Brasileirão Série ACruzeiro3 Paranaense1Cruzeiro3–1Paranaense | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 13 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Brasileirão Série A Santos2Cruzeiro1Santos2–1Cruzeiro | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 20 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Brasileirão Série A Vitória1Cruzeiro3Vitória1–3Cruzeiro | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
São Paulo FC: last 6
Goals per game: 1.0
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sun, 16 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FT · Brasileirão Série ASão Paulo1 Coritiba1São Paulo1–1Coritiba | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 23 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Brasileirão Série A Chapecoense1São Paulo0Chapecoense1–0São Paulo | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 30 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Brasileirão Série ASão Paulo2 Bragantino1São Paulo2–1Bragantino | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 5 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Brasileirão Série ASão Paulo2 Mineiro0São Paulo2–0Mineiro | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 12 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Brasileirão Série A Palmeiras2São Paulo0Palmeiras2–0São Paulo | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 20 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Brasileirão Série ASão Paulo1 Internacional0São Paulo1–0Internacional | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Last 3 meetings
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sun, 13 Apr 2025 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT · Brasileirão Série ASão Paulo1Cruzeiro1São Paulo1–1Cruzeiro | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 31 Aug 2025 | ||||||||
| FT · Brasileirão Série ACruzeiro1São Paulo0Cruzeiro1–0São Paulo | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 4 Apr 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · Brasileirão Série ASão Paulo4Cruzeiro1São Paulo4–1Cruzeiro | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
What are the most likely scores?
Related
- Cruzeiro EC
- São Paulo FC
- Brasileirão Série A predictions
- Brasileirão Série A Home win
- Brasileirão Série A Over 2.5
- Our accuracy record
Other matches the same day
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Thu, 8 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 · Brasileirão Série AVitóriaChapecoenseVitóriavChapecoense | 50% | 26% | 24% | 51% | O1.5 76% | 76% | 29% | |
00:30 · Brasileirão Série A BotafogoVasco da GamaBotafogovVasco da Gama | 54% | 23% | 23% | 60% | O1.5 82% | 82% | 38% | |
| 23:30 · Brasileirão Série ASantosFlamengoSantosvFlamengo | 21% | 24% | 55% | 54% | O1.5 78% | 78% | 32% | |