Manchester United FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC prediction

Premier League · Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 17:30 UK

Manchester United FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC prediction (Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 17:30 UK): Manchester United FC 55% · Draw 23% · Tottenham Hotspur FC 22%. Over 2.5 goals: 61%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.97–1.18. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 21:36 UK.

Both teams to score: Yes 60%, No 40%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%).

Published Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 21:36 UK · Updated Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 21:36 UK

Who will win Manchester United FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC?

Manchester United FC are clear favourites at 55%, with Tottenham Hotspur FC at 22%. Recent form: Manchester United FC DLWDWL, Tottenham Hotspur FC LDDLLW (latest first).

Manchester United FC

55%

Draw

23%

Tottenham Hotspur FC

22%

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 61% and Under 2.5 is 39%.

Line	Over	Under	Fair odds (from our probability), Over
1.5 goals	83%	17%	1.21
2.5 goals	61%	39%	1.64
3.5 goals	38%	62%	2.60

Will both teams score?

Our model gives both teams to score a 60% chance: Manchester United FC score in about 86% of simulated outcomes and Tottenham Hotspur FC in about 70%, and both need to happen.

BTTS	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Yes	60%	1.67
No	40%	2.49

BTTS predictions today

What are the fair odds?

Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin.

Market	Our %	Fair odds (from our probability)
Manchester United FC win	55%	1.81
Draw	23%	4.43
Tottenham Hotspur FC win	22%	4.53
Over 2.5	61%	1.64
Under 2.5	39%	2.55

Got a bookmaker price? Check it against our probability

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.

Times in UK time

Manchester United FC and Tottenham Hotspur FC previous meetings

Sat, 8 Nov 2025
FT · Premier LeagueTottenham2Man United2Tottenham2–2Man United	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
Sat, 7 Feb 2026
FT · Premier LeagueMan United2Tottenham0Man United2–0Tottenham	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–

Manchester United FC — last 6 matches

Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
Sun, 20 Sept 2026	Fulham FC	Away	1–1	D
Sun, 13 Sept 2026	Manchester City FC	Home	0–1	L
Thu, 10 Sept 2026	Sabah FK	Home	4–0	W
Sun, 6 Sept 2026	Everton FC	Away	2–2	D
Sun, 30 Aug 2026	Ipswich Town FC	Home	5–2	W
Sat, 22 Aug 2026	Hull City AFC	Away	0–2	L

Tottenham Hotspur FC — last 6 matches

Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
Sat, 19 Sept 2026	Aston Villa FC	Home	2–3	L
Sat, 12 Sept 2026	Everton FC	Home	0–0	D
Sat, 5 Sept 2026	Nottingham Forest FC	Away	0–0	D
Sat, 29 Aug 2026	Newcastle United FC	Home	0–2	L
Sat, 22 Aug 2026	Brentford FC	Away	0–3	L
Sun, 24 May 2026	Everton FC	Home	1–0	W

What are the most likely scores?

The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.

Correct score probabilities: Manchester United FC goals (rows) × Tottenham Hotspur FC goals (columns)
Manchester \ Tottenham	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5%	5%	3%	1%	0%	0%
1	8%	10%	6%	2%	1%	0%
2	8%	10%	6%	2%	1%	0%
3	5%	6%	4%	1%	0%	0%
4	3%	3%	2%	1%	0%	0%
5	1%	1%	1%	0%	0%	0%
Other	2% (any score with 6+ goals for a team)

1-1

10%

2-1

10%

2-0

1-0

3-1

Correct score predictions today

Other matches the same day