Lille OSC vs Le Havre AC 
prediction
Ligue 1 · Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 16:15 UK
Lille OSC vs Le Havre AC prediction (Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 16:15 UK): Lille OSC 62% · Draw 24% · Le Havre AC 15%. Over 2.5 goals: 45%. Most likely score: 1-0. Expected goals 1.74–0.72. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 21:36 UK.
Published · Updated
Who will win Lille OSC vs Le Havre AC?
Lille OSC are clear favourites at 62%, with Le Havre AC at 15%. Recent form: Lille OSC LWLWDW, Le Havre AC LDLDLW (latest first).
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model leans Under 2.5 goals, at 55%; Over 2.5 is 45%.
| Line | Over | Under | Fair odds (from our probability), Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 goals | 71% | 29% | 1.41 |
| 2.5 goals | 45% | 55% | 2.25 |
| 3.5 goals | 23% | 77% | 4.28 |
What are the fair odds?
Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin.
| Market | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| Lille OSC win | 62% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.18 |
| Le Havre AC win | 15% | 6.89 |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 2.25 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 1.80 |
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sun, 30 Nov 2025 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT · Ligue 1Le Havre0Lille1Le Havre0–1Lille | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 3 May 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · Ligue 1Lille1Le Havre1Lille1–1Le Havre | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Lille OSC — last 6 matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 20 Sept 2026 | OGC Nice | Away | 1–2 | L |
| Sun, 13 Sept 2026 | ES Troyes AC | Home | 2–0 | W |
| Tue, 8 Sept 2026 | Real Betis Balompié | Home | 2–3 | L |
| Thu, 3 Sept 2026 | Toulouse FC | Away | 1–0 | W |
| Fri, 28 Aug 2026 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | Home | 2–2 | D |
| Sun, 23 Aug 2026 | Angers SCO | Away | 2–0 | W |
Le Havre AC — last 6 matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 19 Sept 2026 | Toulouse FC | Away | 2–3 | L |
| Sat, 12 Sept 2026 | Angers SCO | Home | 0–0 | D |
| Sat, 5 Sept 2026 | Stade Brestois 29 | Home | 1–2 | L |
| Sat, 29 Aug 2026 | Olympique Lyonnais | Away | 1–1 | D |
| Sun, 23 Aug 2026 | AS Monaco FC | Home | 0–1 | L |
| Sun, 17 May 2026 | FC Lorient | Away | 2–0 | W |
What are the most likely scores?
Related
Other matches the same day
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win and Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 · Premier League Arsenal LeedsArsenalvLeeds | 62% | 24% | 13% | 41% | U3.5 79% | 68% | 21% | |
12:30 · Championship West Brom BirminghamWest BromvBirmingham | 39% | 30% | 31% | 38% | U3.5 81% | 66% | 19% | |
12:30 · Championship Swansea NorwichSwanseavNorwich | 44% | 26% | 31% | 54% | O1.5 78% | 78% | 32% | |