Zalgiris Kaunas vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade prediction

EuroLeague · Friday, 30 October 2026, 18:00 UK

PickZAL84-79

Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade4-3 · 1133%

Zalgiris Kaunas are favourites at 67% (Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade 33%). Projected score ZAL 84-79 PAR: ZAL by about 5, 163 points in total. ZAL -5.5: 49%. Over 163.5: 50%.

By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 22:32 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.

What the numbers show

Expect a lower-scoring game: between them these teams score and concede 4.7 points fewer than an average pairing.

The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.

Winner

Zalgiris Kaunas 67% (fair odds 1.49)

Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade 33% (fair odds 3.03)

Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 5%.

Handicap (ZAL)

ZAL -0.565%
ZAL -5.549%
ZAL -10.532%

Chance ZAL wins by more than the line. Projected margin 5.

Total points

Over 153.573%
Over 158.562%
Over 163.550%
Over 168.538%
Over 173.526%

Projected 163, overtime included.

Head to head

Last 6 meetings of Zalgiris Kaunas and Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade, points by quarter
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
10 Apr2026	Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade vs Zalgiris Kaunas	2226	1922	1615	1720	74 83
19 Dec2025	Zalgiris Kaunas vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade	2815	2515	2918	2720	109 68
03 Apr2025	Zalgiris Kaunas vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade	2421	1119	149	2117	70 66
03 Dec2024	Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade vs Zalgiris Kaunas	2219	2222	2023	2014	84 78
26 Jan2024	Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade vs Zalgiris Kaunas	2226	2317	1616	2013	81 72
14 Dec2023	Zalgiris Kaunas vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade	2129	2329	2018	2117	85 93

Zalgiris Kaunas won 3 (50%)Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade won 3 (50%)

EuroLeague table

EuroLeague standings with Zalgiris Kaunas and Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade highlighted
#	Team	GP	W	L	PF	PA	Win %
1	Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens	7	6	1	613	517	.857
2	Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul	7	6	1	565	508	.857
3	Valencia Basket	7	5	2	694	642	.714
4	Olympiacos Piraeus	7	5	2	650	603	.714
5	Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv	7	5	2	630	601	.714
6	Dubai Basketball	7	5	2	597	584	.714
7	Real Madrid	7	4	3	667	630	.571
8	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade	7	4	3	567	542	.571
9	FC Barcelona	7	4	3	631	619	.571
10	Virtus Bologna	7	4	3	606	608	.571
11	Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade	7	4	3	551	553	.571
12	Zalgiris Kaunas	7	3	4	595	602	.429
13	Anadolu Efes Istanbul	7	3	4	581	590	.429
14	Besiktas Istanbul	7	3	4	634	644	.429
15	Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv	7	2	5	608	653	.286
16	FC Bayern Munich	7	2	5	612	659	.286
17	LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne	7	2	5	612	677	.286
18	Paris Basketball	7	1	6	597	649	.143
19	Armani Olimpia Milan	7	1	6	585	648	.143
20	Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz	7	1	6	583	649	.143

Full EuroLeague standings

Zalgiris Kaunas: last 6 games this season

Zalgiris Kaunas's last 6 games, points by quarter
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
23 Oct2026	Zalgiris Kaunas vs LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne	2920	2114	3125	2426	105 85
16 Oct2026	Zalgiris Kaunas vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul	1221	2421	2025	1418	70 85
13 Oct2026	Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul vs Zalgiris Kaunas	2714	2329	2813	2124	99 80
09 Oct2026	FC Barcelona vs Zalgiris Kaunas	1823	2316	2416	1633	81 88
01 Oct2026	Paris Basketball vs Zalgiris Kaunas	1719	2419	2015	2125	82 78
29 Sept2026	Zalgiris Kaunas vs Olympiacos Piraeus	2421	2023	1920	2829	91 93

Won 2 (33%)Lost 4 (67%)

Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade: last 6 games this season

Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade's last 6 games, points by quarter
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
22 Oct2026	Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade vs Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade	3121	2117	1312	1025	107	85 82
15 Oct2026	Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade	1219	139	3416	1521		74 65
13 Oct2026	Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade vs Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens	1616	1219	820	1917		55 72
08 Oct2026	Real Madrid vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade	2719	2618	1820	1519		86 76
02 Oct2026	FC Bayern Munich vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade	2722	2024	1811	1929		84 86
29 Sept2026	Paris Basketball vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade	1815	2229	2323	1625		79 92

Won 3 (50%)Lost 3 (50%)

Zalgiris Kaunas at home

Zalgiris Kaunas's games at home this season
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
23 Oct2026	Zalgiris Kaunas vs LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne	2920	2114	3125	2426	105 85
16 Oct2026	Zalgiris Kaunas vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul	1221	2421	2025	1418	70 85
29 Sept2026	Zalgiris Kaunas vs Olympiacos Piraeus	2421	2023	1920	2829	91 93

Won 1 (33%)Lost 2 (67%)

Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade on the road

Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade's games on the road this season
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
15 Oct2026	Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade	1219	139	3416	1521	74 65
08 Oct2026	Real Madrid vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade	2719	2618	1820	1519	86 76
02 Oct2026	FC Bayern Munich vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade	2722	2024	1811	1929	84 86
29 Sept2026	Paris Basketball vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade	1815	2229	2323	1625	79 92

Won 2 (50%)Lost 2 (50%)

Next games

Zalgiris Kaunas

Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade

06 Novvs Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv
11 Novvs Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz
17 Novvs Valencia Basket

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Zalgiris Kaunas vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade?: Our model makes Zalgiris Kaunas favourites at 67%, with a projected score of ZAL 84-79 PAR.
What is the handicap prediction?: ZAL -5.5 covers 49% of the time on our numbers; ZAL is projected to win by about 5.
Over or under?: We project 163 total points including overtime. Over 163.5: 50%; under: 50%.

More EuroLeague games

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.