Virtus Bologna vs Besiktas Istanbul prediction
EuroLeague · Friday, 30 October 2026, 19:30 UK
Virtus Bologna are slight favourites at 56% (Besiktas Istanbul 44%). Projected score VIR 88-86 BES: VIR by about 2, 174 points in total. VIR -2.5: 47%. Over 174.5: 48%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 22:32 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Points should come easily: between them these teams score and concede 5.6 points more than an average pairing, which lifts the projected total.
The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.
Winner
Virtus Bologna 56% (fair odds 1.80)
Besiktas Istanbul 44% (fair odds 2.25)
Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 5%.
Handicap (VIR)
- VIR -2.547%
- VIR -7.531%
Chance VIR wins by more than the line. Projected margin 2.
Total points
- Over 164.572%
- Over 169.561%
- Over 174.548%
- Over 179.536%
- Over 184.525%
Projected 174, overtime included.
EuroLeague table
| # | Team | GP | W | L | PF | PA | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens | 7 | 6 | 1 | 613 | 517 | .857 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul | 7 | 6 | 1 | 565 | 508 | .857 |
| 3 | Valencia Basket | 7 | 5 | 2 | 694 | 642 | .714 |
| 4 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 7 | 5 | 2 | 650 | 603 | .714 |
| 5 | Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv | 7 | 5 | 2 | 630 | 601 | .714 |
| 6 | Dubai Basketball | 7 | 5 | 2 | 597 | 584 | .714 |
| 7 | Real Madrid | 7 | 4 | 3 | 667 | 630 | .571 |
| 8 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade | 7 | 4 | 3 | 567 | 542 | .571 |
| 9 | FC Barcelona | 7 | 4 | 3 | 631 | 619 | .571 |
| 10 | Virtus Bologna | 7 | 4 | 3 | 606 | 608 | .571 |
| 11 | Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade | 7 | 4 | 3 | 551 | 553 | .571 |
| 12 | Zalgiris Kaunas | 7 | 3 | 4 | 595 | 602 | .429 |
| 13 | Anadolu Efes Istanbul | 7 | 3 | 4 | 581 | 590 | .429 |
| 14 | Besiktas Istanbul | 7 | 3 | 4 | 634 | 644 | .429 |
| 15 | Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv | 7 | 2 | 5 | 608 | 653 | .286 |
| 16 | FC Bayern Munich | 7 | 2 | 5 | 612 | 659 | .286 |
| 17 | LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne | 7 | 2 | 5 | 612 | 677 | .286 |
| 18 | Paris Basketball | 7 | 1 | 6 | 597 | 649 | .143 |
| 19 | Armani Olimpia Milan | 7 | 1 | 6 | 585 | 648 | .143 |
| 20 | Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz | 7 | 1 | 6 | 583 | 649 | .143 |
Virtus Bologna: last 6 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct2026 | Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv vs Virtus Bologna | 2325 | 1323 | 2814 | 2619 | 90 81 |
| 16 Oct2026 | Virtus Bologna vs Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz | 2412 | 2222 | 2219 | 1825 | 86 78 |
| 14 Oct2026 | Paris Basketball vs Virtus Bologna | 2626 | 1220 | 2718 | 2932 | 94 96 |
| 08 Oct2026 | FC Bayern Munich vs Virtus Bologna | 2135 | 2217 | 2523 | 1919 | 87 94 |
| 01 Oct2026 | Virtus Bologna vs Olympiacos Piraeus | 3330 | 1620 | 2620 | 2124 | 96 94 |
| 29 Sept2026 | Armani Olimpia Milan vs Virtus Bologna | 3020 | 1721 | 1926 | 2118 | 87 85 |
Won 4 (67%)Lost 2 (33%)
Besiktas Istanbul: last 6 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct2026 | Anadolu Efes Istanbul vs Besiktas Istanbul | 2917 | 2819 | 1124 | 2120 | 89 80 |
| 16 Oct2026 | Besiktas Istanbul vs FC Bayern Munich | 2617 | 2718 | 1623 | 2629 | 95 87 |
| 14 Oct2026 | Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv vs Besiktas Istanbul | 2218 | 2121 | 3216 | 2527 | 100 82 |
| 09 Oct2026 | Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz vs Besiktas Istanbul | 2028 | 3121 | 2024 | 1319 | 84 92 |
| 02 Oct2026 | Besiktas Istanbul vs FC Barcelona | 1725 | 2327 | 2225 | 2018 | 82 95 |
| 30 Sept2026 | Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv vs Besiktas Istanbul | 1927 | 2725 | 1726 | 3031 | 93 109 |
Won 3 (50%)Lost 3 (50%)
Virtus Bologna at home
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct2026 | Virtus Bologna vs Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz | 2412 | 2222 | 2219 | 1825 | 86 78 |
| 01 Oct2026 | Virtus Bologna vs Olympiacos Piraeus | 3330 | 1620 | 2620 | 2124 | 96 94 |
Won 2 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)
Besiktas Istanbul on the road
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct2026 | Anadolu Efes Istanbul vs Besiktas Istanbul | 2917 | 2819 | 1124 | 2120 | 89 80 |
| 14 Oct2026 | Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv vs Besiktas Istanbul | 2218 | 2121 | 3216 | 2527 | 100 82 |
| 09 Oct2026 | Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz vs Besiktas Istanbul | 2028 | 3121 | 2024 | 1319 | 84 92 |
| 30 Sept2026 | Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv vs Besiktas Istanbul | 1927 | 2725 | 1726 | 3031 | 93 109 |
Won 2 (50%)Lost 2 (50%)
Next games
Virtus Bologna
- 06 Novvs Dubai Basketball
- 13 Novat Anadolu Efes Istanbul
- 17 Novvs Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens
Besiktas Istanbul
- 06 Novvs Zalgiris Kaunas
- 13 Novat LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne
- 18 Novvs Real Madrid
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Virtus Bologna vs Besiktas Istanbul?
- Our model makes Virtus Bologna slight favourites at 56%, with a projected score of VIR 88-86 BES.
- What is the handicap prediction?
- VIR -2.5 covers 47% of the time on our numbers; VIR is projected to win by about 2.
- Over or under?
- We project 174 total points including overtime. Over 174.5: 48%; under: 52%.
More EuroLeague games
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.