FC Barcelona vs Valencia Basket prediction

EuroLeague · Friday, 30 October 2026, 19:30 UK

PickBAR88-88

FC Barcelona are slight favourites at 51% (Valencia Basket 49%). Projected score BAR 88-88 PAM: BAR by about 1, 176 points in total. BAR -0.5: 49%. Over 176.5: 48%.

By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 22:32 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.

What the numbers show

Points should come easily: between them these teams score and concede 7.3 points more than an average pairing, which lifts the projected total.
Basket rate 3.1 points per game better on our numbers (net +4.1 against +1.0), the biggest input in the prediction.

The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.

Winner

FC Barcelona 51% (fair odds 1.97)

Valencia Basket 49% (fair odds 2.04)

Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 5%.

Handicap (BAR)

BAR -0.549%
BAR -5.533%

Chance BAR wins by more than the line. Projected margin 1.

Total points

Over 166.571%
Over 171.560%
Over 176.548%
Over 181.535%
Over 186.525%

Projected 176, overtime included.

Head to head

Last 6 meetings of FC Barcelona and Valencia Basket, points by quarter
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
19 Mar2026	Valencia Basket vs FC Barcelona	1518	1817	1918	1013	62 66
10 Oct2025	FC Barcelona vs Valencia Basket	2625	2224	3026	3027	108 102
07 Mar2024	Valencia Basket vs FC Barcelona	1818	2419	1522	2129	78 88
17 Nov2023	FC Barcelona vs Valencia Basket	2516	1217	1719	2018	74 70
14 Apr2023	FC Barcelona vs Valencia Basket	2421	2725	2115	1310	85 71
23 Dec2022	Valencia Basket vs FC Barcelona	2020	2118	2121	2224	84 83

FC Barcelona won 5 (83%)Valencia Basket won 1 (17%)

EuroLeague table

EuroLeague standings with FC Barcelona and Valencia Basket highlighted
#	Team	GP	W	L	PF	PA	Win %
1	Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens	7	6	1	613	517	.857
2	Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul	7	6	1	565	508	.857
3	Valencia Basket	7	5	2	694	642	.714
4	Olympiacos Piraeus	7	5	2	650	603	.714
5	Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv	7	5	2	630	601	.714
6	Dubai Basketball	7	5	2	597	584	.714
7	Real Madrid	7	4	3	667	630	.571
8	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade	7	4	3	567	542	.571
9	FC Barcelona	7	4	3	631	619	.571
10	Virtus Bologna	7	4	3	606	608	.571
11	Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade	7	4	3	551	553	.571
12	Zalgiris Kaunas	7	3	4	595	602	.429
13	Anadolu Efes Istanbul	7	3	4	581	590	.429
14	Besiktas Istanbul	7	3	4	634	644	.429
15	Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv	7	2	5	608	653	.286
16	FC Bayern Munich	7	2	5	612	659	.286
17	LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne	7	2	5	612	677	.286
18	Paris Basketball	7	1	6	597	649	.143
19	Armani Olimpia Milan	7	1	6	585	648	.143
20	Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz	7	1	6	583	649	.143

Full EuroLeague standings

FC Barcelona: last 6 games this season

FC Barcelona's last 6 games, points by quarter
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
22 Oct2026	Armani Olimpia Milan vs FC Barcelona	2123	1921	2427	1718		81 89
16 Oct2026	FC Barcelona vs Olympiacos Piraeus	3026	1731	1920	2615	813	100 105
13 Oct2026	FC Barcelona vs Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv	2324	1718	2722	2323		90 87
09 Oct2026	FC Barcelona vs Zalgiris Kaunas	1823	2316	2416	1633		81 88
02 Oct2026	Besiktas Istanbul vs FC Barcelona	1725	2327	2225	2018		82 95
29 Sept2026	Dubai Basketball vs FC Barcelona	2325	2912	2425	1825		94 87

Won 3 (50%)Lost 3 (50%)

Valencia Basket: last 6 games this season

Valencia Basket's last 6 games, points by quarter
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
23 Oct2026	Paris Basketball vs Valencia Basket	2632	2825	1626	2321		93 104
15 Oct2026	Valencia Basket vs Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv	2331	2519	2421	1620		88 91
13 Oct2026	Valencia Basket vs Olympiacos Piraeus	3117	2817	1225	1931	712	97 102
08 Oct2026	Valencia Basket vs Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv	2917	1823	2717	1925		93 82
02 Oct2026	LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne vs Valencia Basket	3321	2829	1626	1529		92 105
29 Sept2026	Valencia Basket vs Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz	2610	2623	3127	2828		111 88

Won 4 (67%)Lost 2 (33%)

FC Barcelona at home

FC Barcelona's games at home this season
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
16 Oct2026	FC Barcelona vs Olympiacos Piraeus	3026	1731	1920	2615	813	100 105
13 Oct2026	FC Barcelona vs Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv	2324	1718	2722	2323		90 87
09 Oct2026	FC Barcelona vs Zalgiris Kaunas	1823	2316	2416	1633		81 88
24 Sept2026	FC Barcelona vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul	1625	2919	1823	2615		89 82

Won 2 (50%)Lost 2 (50%)

Valencia Basket on the road

Valencia Basket's games on the road this season
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
23 Oct2026	Paris Basketball vs Valencia Basket	2632	2825	1626	2321	93 104
02 Oct2026	LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne vs Valencia Basket	3321	2829	1626	1529	92 105
25 Sept2026	Besiktas Istanbul vs Valencia Basket	2728	2426	2027	2315	94 96

Won 3 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)

Next games

FC Barcelona

Valencia Basket

Frequently asked questions

Who will win FC Barcelona vs Valencia Basket?: Our model makes FC Barcelona slight favourites at 51%, with a projected score of BAR 88-88 PAM.
What is the handicap prediction?: BAR -0.5 covers 49% of the time on our numbers; BAR is projected to win by about 1.
Over or under?: We project 176 total points including overtime. Over 176.5: 48%; under: 52%.

More EuroLeague games

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.