Anadolu Efes Istanbul vs Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens prediction

EuroLeague · Friday, 30 October 2026, 17:30 UK

PickPAN81-83

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens are slight favourites at 56% (Anadolu Efes Istanbul 44%). Projected score IST 81-83 PAN: PAN by about 2, 164 points in total. PAN -2.5: 47%. Over 164.5: 49%.

By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 22:32 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.

What the numbers show

Athens rate 5.0 points per game better on our numbers (net +4.2 against −0.8), the biggest input in the prediction.
Expect a lower-scoring game: between them these teams score and concede 4.1 points fewer than an average pairing.

The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.

Winner

Anadolu Efes Istanbul 44% (fair odds 2.25)

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens 56% (fair odds 1.80)

Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 5%.

Handicap (PAN)

PAN -2.547%
PAN -7.531%

Chance PAN wins by more than the line. Projected margin 2.

Total points

Over 154.573%
Over 159.561%
Over 164.549%
Over 169.537%
Over 174.526%

Projected 164, overtime included.

Head to head

Last 6 meetings of Anadolu Efes Istanbul and Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens, points by quarter
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
17 Apr2026	Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul	2016	2522	265	2619	97 62
17 Oct2025	Anadolu Efes Istanbul vs Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens	2122	2121	1026	2926	81 95
06 May2025	Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul	1810	2320	1216	2221	75 67
02 May2025	Anadolu Efes Istanbul vs Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens	2118	1715	2226	2523	85 82
30 Apr2025	Anadolu Efes Istanbul vs Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens	2320	1625	1518	2318	77 81
24 Apr2025	Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul	2917	1319	1814	1629	76 79

Anadolu Efes Istanbul won 2 (33%)Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens won 4 (67%)

EuroLeague table

EuroLeague standings with Anadolu Efes Istanbul and Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens highlighted
#	Team	GP	W	L	PF	PA	Win %
1	Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens	7	6	1	613	517	.857
2	Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul	7	6	1	565	508	.857
3	Valencia Basket	7	5	2	694	642	.714
4	Olympiacos Piraeus	7	5	2	650	603	.714
5	Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv	7	5	2	630	601	.714
6	Dubai Basketball	7	5	2	597	584	.714
7	Real Madrid	7	4	3	667	630	.571
8	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade	7	4	3	567	542	.571
9	FC Barcelona	7	4	3	631	619	.571
10	Virtus Bologna	7	4	3	606	608	.571
11	Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade	7	4	3	551	553	.571
12	Zalgiris Kaunas	7	3	4	595	602	.429
13	Anadolu Efes Istanbul	7	3	4	581	590	.429
14	Besiktas Istanbul	7	3	4	634	644	.429
15	Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv	7	2	5	608	653	.286
16	FC Bayern Munich	7	2	5	612	659	.286
17	LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne	7	2	5	612	677	.286
18	Paris Basketball	7	1	6	597	649	.143
19	Armani Olimpia Milan	7	1	6	585	648	.143
20	Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz	7	1	6	583	649	.143

Full EuroLeague standings

Anadolu Efes Istanbul: last 6 games this season

Anadolu Efes Istanbul's last 6 games, points by quarter
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
22 Oct2026	Anadolu Efes Istanbul vs Besiktas Istanbul	2917	2819	1124	2120	89 80
16 Oct2026	Zalgiris Kaunas vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul	1221	2421	2025	1418	70 85
14 Oct2026	Anadolu Efes Istanbul vs FC Bayern Munich	2226	2428	2221	2526	93 101
09 Oct2026	Olympiacos Piraeus vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul	2616	915	2718	2717	89 66
01 Oct2026	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul	1921	1815	1917	2119	77 72
29 Sept2026	Anadolu Efes Istanbul vs Real Madrid	2729	2612	1924	2219	94 84

Won 3 (50%)Lost 3 (50%)

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens: last 6 games this season

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens's last 6 games, points by quarter
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
22 Oct2026	Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens vs Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz	2021	2319	2014	2225	85 79
16 Oct2026	Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens vs Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv	2529	2119	1520	2023	81 91
13 Oct2026	Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade vs Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens	1616	1219	820	1917	55 72
08 Oct2026	Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens vs Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul	2724	1917	2114	2519	92 74
02 Oct2026	Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens vs Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv	2510	1814	2519	2224	90 67
30 Sept2026	Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens vs LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne	2513	3121	2422	2223	102 79

Won 5 (83%)Lost 1 (17%)

Anadolu Efes Istanbul at home

Anadolu Efes Istanbul's games at home this season
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
22 Oct2026	Anadolu Efes Istanbul vs Besiktas Istanbul	2917	2819	1124	2120	89 80
14 Oct2026	Anadolu Efes Istanbul vs FC Bayern Munich	2226	2428	2221	2526	93 101
29 Sept2026	Anadolu Efes Istanbul vs Real Madrid	2729	2612	1924	2219	94 84

Won 2 (67%)Lost 1 (33%)

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens on the road

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens's games on the road this season
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
13 Oct2026	Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade vs Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens	1616	1219	820	1917	55 72

Won 1 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)

Next games

Anadolu Efes Istanbul

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Anadolu Efes Istanbul vs Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens?: Our model makes Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens slight favourites at 56%, with a projected score of IST 81-83 PAN.
What is the handicap prediction?: PAN -2.5 covers 47% of the time on our numbers; PAN is projected to win by about 2.
Over or under?: We project 164 total points including overtime. Over 164.5: 49%; under: 51%.

More EuroLeague games

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.