Olympiacos Piraeus vs Armani Olimpia Milan prediction
EuroLeague · Friday, 30 October 2026, 19:15 UK
Olympiacos Piraeus are favourites at 88% (Armani Olimpia Milan 12%). Projected score OLY 95-81 MIL: OLY by about 14, 175 points in total. OLY -14.5: 48%. Over 175.5: 50%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 22:32 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Piraeus rate 10.5 points per game better on our numbers (net +6.7 against −3.8), the biggest input in the prediction.
- Points should come easily: between them these teams score and concede 7.8 points more than an average pairing, which lifts the projected total.
- Form: Piraeus have won 5 of their last 7, Milan 1 of 7.
The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.
Winner
Olympiacos Piraeus 88% (fair odds 1.13)
Armani Olimpia Milan 12% (fair odds 8.64)
Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 2%.
Handicap (OLY)
- OLY -9.565%
- OLY -14.548%
- OLY -19.531%
Chance OLY wins by more than the line. Projected margin 14.
Total points
- Over 165.573%
- Over 170.562%
- Over 175.550%
- Over 180.538%
- Over 185.526%
Projected 175, overtime included.
Head to head
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr2026 | Olympiacos Piraeus vs Armani Olimpia Milan | 2623 | 2122 | 2110 | 1721 | 85 76 |
| 14 Nov2025 | Armani Olimpia Milan vs Olympiacos Piraeus | 2721 | 2022 | 2013 | 2131 | 88 87 |
| 26 Dec2024 | Armani Olimpia Milan vs Olympiacos Piraeus | 1919 | 2122 | 2023 | 2320 | 83 84 |
| 15 Oct2024 | Olympiacos Piraeus vs Armani Olimpia Milan | 2317 | 1610 | 2421 | 2620 | 89 68 |
| 02 Jan2024 | Olympiacos Piraeus vs Armani Olimpia Milan | 1819 | 2216 | 2315 | 1624 | 79 74 |
| 17 Oct2023 | Armani Olimpia Milan vs Olympiacos Piraeus | 1917 | 1215 | 139 | 2112 | 65 53 |
Olympiacos Piraeus won 4 (67%)Armani Olimpia Milan won 2 (33%)
EuroLeague table
| # | Team | GP | W | L | PF | PA | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens | 7 | 6 | 1 | 613 | 517 | .857 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul | 7 | 6 | 1 | 565 | 508 | .857 |
| 3 | Valencia Basket | 7 | 5 | 2 | 694 | 642 | .714 |
| 4 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 7 | 5 | 2 | 650 | 603 | .714 |
| 5 | Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv | 7 | 5 | 2 | 630 | 601 | .714 |
| 6 | Dubai Basketball | 7 | 5 | 2 | 597 | 584 | .714 |
| 7 | Real Madrid | 7 | 4 | 3 | 667 | 630 | .571 |
| 8 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade | 7 | 4 | 3 | 567 | 542 | .571 |
| 9 | FC Barcelona | 7 | 4 | 3 | 631 | 619 | .571 |
| 10 | Virtus Bologna | 7 | 4 | 3 | 606 | 608 | .571 |
| 11 | Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade | 7 | 4 | 3 | 551 | 553 | .571 |
| 12 | Zalgiris Kaunas | 7 | 3 | 4 | 595 | 602 | .429 |
| 13 | Anadolu Efes Istanbul | 7 | 3 | 4 | 581 | 590 | .429 |
| 14 | Besiktas Istanbul | 7 | 3 | 4 | 634 | 644 | .429 |
| 15 | Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv | 7 | 2 | 5 | 608 | 653 | .286 |
| 16 | FC Bayern Munich | 7 | 2 | 5 | 612 | 659 | .286 |
| 17 | LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne | 7 | 2 | 5 | 612 | 677 | .286 |
| 18 | Paris Basketball | 7 | 1 | 6 | 597 | 649 | .143 |
| 19 | Armani Olimpia Milan | 7 | 1 | 6 | 585 | 648 | .143 |
| 20 | Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz | 7 | 1 | 6 | 583 | 649 | .143 |
Olympiacos Piraeus: last 6 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct2026 | Olympiacos Piraeus vs Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul | 208 | 1416 | 1521 | 1219 | 61 64 | |
| 16 Oct2026 | FC Barcelona vs Olympiacos Piraeus | 3026 | 1731 | 1920 | 2615 | 813 | 100 105 |
| 13 Oct2026 | Valencia Basket vs Olympiacos Piraeus | 3117 | 2817 | 1225 | 1931 | 712 | 97 102 |
| 09 Oct2026 | Olympiacos Piraeus vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul | 2616 | 915 | 2718 | 2717 | 89 66 | |
| 01 Oct2026 | Virtus Bologna vs Olympiacos Piraeus | 3330 | 1620 | 2620 | 2124 | 96 94 | |
| 29 Sept2026 | Zalgiris Kaunas vs Olympiacos Piraeus | 2421 | 2023 | 1920 | 2829 | 91 93 |
Won 4 (67%)Lost 2 (33%)
Armani Olimpia Milan: last 6 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct2026 | Armani Olimpia Milan vs FC Barcelona | 2123 | 1921 | 2427 | 1718 | 81 89 |
| 15 Oct2026 | Armani Olimpia Milan vs Dubai Basketball | 2329 | 2627 | 1927 | 2918 | 97 101 |
| 13 Oct2026 | Armani Olimpia Milan vs Real Madrid | 2521 | 1532 | 2731 | 2214 | 89 98 |
| 08 Oct2026 | Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv vs Armani Olimpia Milan | 2420 | 2725 | 2317 | 2317 | 97 79 |
| 02 Oct2026 | Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz vs Armani Olimpia Milan | 2616 | 1820 | 2124 | 2116 | 86 76 |
| 29 Sept2026 | Armani Olimpia Milan vs Virtus Bologna | 3020 | 1721 | 1926 | 2118 | 87 85 |
Won 1 (17%)Lost 5 (83%)
Olympiacos Piraeus at home
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct2026 | Olympiacos Piraeus vs Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul | 208 | 1416 | 1521 | 1219 | 61 64 |
| 09 Oct2026 | Olympiacos Piraeus vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul | 2616 | 915 | 2718 | 2717 | 89 66 |
Won 1 (50%)Lost 1 (50%)
Armani Olimpia Milan on the road
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct2026 | Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv vs Armani Olimpia Milan | 2420 | 2725 | 2317 | 2317 | 97 79 |
| 02 Oct2026 | Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz vs Armani Olimpia Milan | 2616 | 1820 | 2124 | 2116 | 86 76 |
| 25 Sept2026 | Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade vs Armani Olimpia Milan | 2016 | 2220 | 2122 | 2918 | 92 76 |
Won 0 (0%)Lost 3 (100%)
Next games
Olympiacos Piraeus
Armani Olimpia Milan
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Olympiacos Piraeus vs Armani Olimpia Milan?
- Our model makes Olympiacos Piraeus favourites at 88%, with a projected score of OLY 95-81 MIL.
- What is the handicap prediction?
- OLY -14.5 covers 48% of the time on our numbers; OLY is projected to win by about 14.
- Over or under?
- We project 175 total points including overtime. Over 175.5: 50%; under: 50%.
More EuroLeague games
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.