Los Angeles Lakers vs Portland Trail Blazers prediction
NBA · Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 03:00 UK
Los Angeles Lakers are slight favourites at 55% (Portland Trail Blazers 45%). Projected score LAL 112-111 POR: LAL by about 2, 223 points in total. LAL -2.5: 47%. Over 223.5: 48%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 22:31 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
These two rate about the same on our numbers; home court, worth about 2 to 3 points, is what makes Los Angeles Lakers the pick.
The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.
Winner
Los Angeles Lakers 55% (fair odds 1.82)
Portland Trail Blazers 45% (fair odds 2.22)
Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 6%.
Handicap (LAL)
- LAL -2.547%
- LAL -7.532%
Chance LAL wins by more than the line. Projected margin 2.
Total points
- Over 213.569%
- Over 218.559%
- Over 223.548%
- Over 228.537%
- Over 233.527%
Projected 223, overtime included.
Head to head
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan2026 | Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Lakers | 4027 | 3134 | 3629 | 2526 | 132 116 |
| 04 Nov2025 | Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Lakers | 3324 | 2028 | 3338 | 2933 | 115 123 |
| 28 Oct2025 | Los Angeles Lakers vs Portland Trail Blazers | 2428 | 2729 | 2632 | 3133 | 108 122 |
| 13 Apr2025 | Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Lakers | 2925 | 2918 | 3118 | 2020 | 109 81 |
| 21 Feb2025 | Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Lakers | 1528 | 3227 | 3023 | 2532 | 102 110 |
| 03 Jan2025 | Los Angeles Lakers vs Portland Trail Blazers | 2731 | 3320 | 2824 | 2631 | 114 106 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | PF | PA | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Timberwolves | 3 | 3 | 0 | 363 | 293 | 1.000 |
| 2 | Portland Trail Blazers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 252 | 203 | 1.000 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Lakers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 384 | 345 | 1.000 |
| 4 | Memphis Grizzlies | 3 | 3 | 0 | 357 | 323 | 1.000 |
| 5 | Oklahoma City Thunder | 3 | 3 | 0 | 320 | 289 | 1.000 |
| 6 | Houston Rockets | 3 | 3 | 0 | 363 | 334 | 1.000 |
| 7 | Denver Nuggets | 2 | 1 | 1 | 225 | 231 | .500 |
| 8 | Phoenix Suns | 2 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 246 | .500 |
| 9 | LA Clippers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 339 | 329 | .333 |
| 10 | San Antonio Spurs | 3 | 1 | 2 | 336 | 336 | .333 |
| 11 | Dallas Mavericks | 3 | 1 | 2 | 337 | 355 | .333 |
| 12 | Utah Jazz | 3 | 1 | 2 | 346 | 374 | .333 |
| 13 | New Orleans Pelicans | 3 | 0 | 3 | 374 | 384 | .000 |
| 14 | Golden State Warriors | 3 | 0 | 3 | 335 | 369 | .000 |
| 15 | Sacramento Kings | 3 | 0 | 3 | 328 | 372 | .000 |
Los Angeles Lakers: last 3 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct2026 | Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles Lakers | 4729 | 2445 | 2929 | 2329 | 123 132 |
| 24 Oct2026 | Los Angeles Lakers vs LA Clippers | 2731 | 3733 | 3926 | 2227 | 125 117 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors | 3433 | 3219 | 3616 | 2537 | 127 105 |
Portland Trail Blazers: last 2 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct2026 | Sacramento Kings vs Portland Trail Blazers | 3327 | 3132 | 2644 | 3025 | 120 128 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns | 4312 | 2927 | 3527 | 1717 | 124 83 |
Los Angeles Lakers at home
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct2026 | Los Angeles Lakers vs LA Clippers | 2731 | 3733 | 3926 | 2227 | 125 117 |
| 22 Oct2026 | Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors | 3433 | 3219 | 3616 | 2537 | 127 105 |
Portland Trail Blazers on the road
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct2026 | Sacramento Kings vs Portland Trail Blazers | 3327 | 3132 | 2644 | 3025 | 120 128 |
Next games
Los Angeles Lakers
- 29 Octat LA ClippersLAC 56%
- 31 Octat Golden State WarriorsLAL 63%
- 02 Novvs Toronto RaptorsLAL 54%
Portland Trail Blazers
- 30 Octvs Memphis GrizzliesPOR 79%
- 31 Octat Utah JazzPOR 73%
- 03 Novat Denver NuggetsDEN 55%
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Los Angeles Lakers vs Portland Trail Blazers?
- Our model makes Los Angeles Lakers slight favourites at 55%, with a projected score of LAL 112-111 POR.
- What is the handicap prediction?
- LAL -2.5 covers 47% of the time on our numbers; LAL is projected to win by about 2.
- Over or under?
- We project 223 total points including overtime. Over 223.5: 48%; under: 52%.
More NBA games
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.