Valencia Basket vs Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul prediction

EuroLeague · Tuesday, 27 October 2026, 19:30 UK

PickPAM87-82

Valencia Basket are slight favourites at 64% (Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul 36%). Projected score PAM 87-82 ULK: PAM by about 4, 169 points in total. PAM -4.5: 48%. Over 169.5: 49%.

By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 22:32 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.

What the numbers show

These two rate about the same on our numbers; home court, worth about 3 to 4 points, is what makes Valencia Basket the pick.

The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.

Winner

Valencia Basket 64% (fair odds 1.57)

Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul 36% (fair odds 2.76)

Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 5%.

Handicap (PAM)

PAM -4.548%
PAM -9.532%

Chance PAM wins by more than the line. Projected margin 4.

Total points

Over 159.572%
Over 164.561%
Over 169.549%
Over 174.536%
Over 179.525%

Projected 169, overtime included.

Head to head

Last 6 meetings of Valencia Basket and Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul, points by quarter
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
16 Jan2026	Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul vs Valencia Basket	2820	1714	2124	1621	82 79
28 Oct2025	Valencia Basket vs Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul	2713	2422	2521	1823	94 79
14 Mar2024	Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul vs Valencia Basket	2219	3518	2824	3327	118 88
13 Oct2023	Valencia Basket vs Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul	229	1724	1920	1921	77 74
16 Mar2023	Valencia Basket vs Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul	2221	2121	1818	2120	82 80
20 Oct2022	Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul vs Valencia Basket	2025	1418	2615	1919	79 77

Valencia Basket won 3 (50%)Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul won 3 (50%)

EuroLeague table

EuroLeague standings with Valencia Basket and Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul highlighted
#	Team	GP	W	L	PF	PA	Win %
1	Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens	7	6	1	613	517	.857
2	Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul	7	6	1	565	508	.857
3	Valencia Basket	7	5	2	694	642	.714
4	Olympiacos Piraeus	7	5	2	650	603	.714
5	Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv	7	5	2	630	601	.714
6	Dubai Basketball	7	5	2	597	584	.714
7	Real Madrid	7	4	3	667	630	.571
8	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade	7	4	3	567	542	.571
9	FC Barcelona	7	4	3	631	619	.571
10	Virtus Bologna	7	4	3	606	608	.571
11	Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade	7	4	3	551	553	.571
12	Zalgiris Kaunas	7	3	4	595	602	.429
13	Anadolu Efes Istanbul	7	3	4	581	590	.429
14	Besiktas Istanbul	7	3	4	634	644	.429
15	Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv	7	2	5	608	653	.286
16	FC Bayern Munich	7	2	5	612	659	.286
17	LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne	7	2	5	612	677	.286
18	Paris Basketball	7	1	6	597	649	.143
19	Armani Olimpia Milan	7	1	6	585	648	.143
20	Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz	7	1	6	583	649	.143

Full EuroLeague standings

Valencia Basket: last 6 games this season

Valencia Basket's last 6 games, points by quarter
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
23 Oct2026	Paris Basketball vs Valencia Basket	2632	2825	1626	2321		93 104
15 Oct2026	Valencia Basket vs Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv	2331	2519	2421	1620		88 91
13 Oct2026	Valencia Basket vs Olympiacos Piraeus	3117	2817	1225	1931	712	97 102
08 Oct2026	Valencia Basket vs Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv	2917	1823	2717	1925		93 82
02 Oct2026	LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne vs Valencia Basket	3321	2829	1626	1529		92 105
29 Sept2026	Valencia Basket vs Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz	2610	2623	3127	2828		111 88

Won 4 (67%)Lost 2 (33%)

Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul: last 6 games this season

Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul's last 6 games, points by quarter
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
23 Oct2026	Olympiacos Piraeus vs Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul	208	1416	1521	1219	61 64
15 Oct2026	Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade	1219	139	3416	1521	74 65
13 Oct2026	Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul vs Zalgiris Kaunas	2714	2329	2813	2124	99 80
08 Oct2026	Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens vs Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul	2724	1917	2114	2519	92 74
02 Oct2026	Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul vs Dubai Basketball	2614	1625	1312	2115	76 66
29 Sept2026	Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul vs FC Bayern Munich	3115	1916	2520	2525	100 76

Won 5 (83%)Lost 1 (17%)

Valencia Basket at home

Valencia Basket's games at home this season
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
15 Oct2026	Valencia Basket vs Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv	2331	2519	2421	1620		88 91
13 Oct2026	Valencia Basket vs Olympiacos Piraeus	3117	2817	1225	1931	712	97 102
08 Oct2026	Valencia Basket vs Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv	2917	1823	2717	1925		93 82
29 Sept2026	Valencia Basket vs Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz	2610	2623	3127	2828		111 88

Won 2 (50%)Lost 2 (50%)

Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul on the road

Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul's games on the road this season
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
23 Oct2026	Olympiacos Piraeus vs Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul	208	1416	1521	1219	61 64
08 Oct2026	Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens vs Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul	2724	1917	2114	2519	92 74

Won 1 (50%)Lost 1 (50%)

Next games

Valencia Basket

Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul

29 Octat Real MadridMAD 67%
05 Novvs Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz
11 Novat Paris Basketball

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Valencia Basket vs Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul?: Our model makes Valencia Basket slight favourites at 64%, with a projected score of PAM 87-82 ULK.
What is the handicap prediction?: PAM -4.5 covers 48% of the time on our numbers; PAM is projected to win by about 4.
Over or under?: We project 169 total points including overtime. Over 169.5: 49%; under: 51%.

More EuroLeague games

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.