LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade prediction
EuroLeague · Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 19:00 UK
Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade are slight favourites at 53% (LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne 47%). Projected score ASV 83-84 PAR: PAR by about 1, 166 points in total. PAR -1.5: 48%. Over 166.5: 49%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 22:32 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Belgrade rate 4.2 points per game better on our numbers (net −0.6 against −4.9), the biggest input in the prediction.
The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.
Winner
LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne 47% (fair odds 2.13)
Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade 53% (fair odds 1.89)
Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 5%.
Handicap (PAR)
- PAR -1.548%
- PAR -6.531%
Chance PAR wins by more than the line. Projected margin 1.
Total points
- Over 156.573%
- Over 161.562%
- Over 166.549%
- Over 171.537%
- Over 176.526%
Projected 166, overtime included.
Head to head
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar2026 | Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade vs LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne | 1424 | 228 | 2325 | 2021 | 79 78 |
| 14 Nov2025 | LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade | 2620 | 1616 | 2427 | 2224 | 88 87 |
| 14 Jan2025 | LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade | 2031 | 1414 | 929 | 1919 | 62 93 |
| 17 Dec2024 | Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade vs LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne | 2124 | 2415 | 2027 | 1416 | 79 82 |
| 02 Jan2024 | Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade vs LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne | 2317 | 2714 | 1914 | 2132 | 90 77 |
| 12 Oct2023 | LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade | 1317 | 1626 | 1929 | 1416 | 62 88 |
LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne won 2 (33%)Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade won 4 (67%)
EuroLeague table
| # | Team | GP | W | L | PF | PA | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens | 7 | 6 | 1 | 613 | 517 | .857 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul | 7 | 6 | 1 | 565 | 508 | .857 |
| 3 | Valencia Basket | 7 | 5 | 2 | 694 | 642 | .714 |
| 4 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 7 | 5 | 2 | 650 | 603 | .714 |
| 5 | Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv | 7 | 5 | 2 | 630 | 601 | .714 |
| 6 | Dubai Basketball | 7 | 5 | 2 | 597 | 584 | .714 |
| 7 | Real Madrid | 7 | 4 | 3 | 667 | 630 | .571 |
| 8 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade | 7 | 4 | 3 | 567 | 542 | .571 |
| 9 | FC Barcelona | 7 | 4 | 3 | 631 | 619 | .571 |
| 10 | Virtus Bologna | 7 | 4 | 3 | 606 | 608 | .571 |
| 11 | Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade | 7 | 4 | 3 | 551 | 553 | .571 |
| 12 | Zalgiris Kaunas | 7 | 3 | 4 | 595 | 602 | .429 |
| 13 | Anadolu Efes Istanbul | 7 | 3 | 4 | 581 | 590 | .429 |
| 14 | Besiktas Istanbul | 7 | 3 | 4 | 634 | 644 | .429 |
| 15 | Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv | 7 | 2 | 5 | 608 | 653 | .286 |
| 16 | FC Bayern Munich | 7 | 2 | 5 | 612 | 659 | .286 |
| 17 | LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne | 7 | 2 | 5 | 612 | 677 | .286 |
| 18 | Paris Basketball | 7 | 1 | 6 | 597 | 649 | .143 |
| 19 | Armani Olimpia Milan | 7 | 1 | 6 | 585 | 648 | .143 |
| 20 | Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz | 7 | 1 | 6 | 583 | 649 | .143 |
LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne: last 6 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct2026 | Zalgiris Kaunas vs LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne | 2920 | 2114 | 3125 | 2426 | 105 85 |
| 15 Oct2026 | Real Madrid vs LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne | 2725 | 3423 | 1623 | 3421 | 111 92 |
| 13 Oct2026 | LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne vs Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade | 2326 | 2316 | 2124 | 1518 | 82 84 |
| 07 Oct2026 | Paris Basketball vs LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne | 2114 | 2232 | 3428 | 1924 | 96 98 |
| 02 Oct2026 | LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne vs Valencia Basket | 3321 | 2829 | 1626 | 1529 | 92 105 |
| 30 Sept2026 | Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens vs LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne | 2513 | 3121 | 2422 | 2223 | 102 79 |
Won 1 (17%)Lost 5 (83%)
Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade: last 6 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct2026 | Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade vs Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade | 3121 | 2117 | 1312 | 1025 | 107 | 85 82 |
| 15 Oct2026 | Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade | 1219 | 139 | 3416 | 1521 | 74 65 | |
| 13 Oct2026 | Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade vs Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens | 1616 | 1219 | 820 | 1917 | 55 72 | |
| 08 Oct2026 | Real Madrid vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade | 2719 | 2618 | 1820 | 1519 | 86 76 | |
| 02 Oct2026 | FC Bayern Munich vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade | 2722 | 2024 | 1811 | 1929 | 84 86 | |
| 29 Sept2026 | Paris Basketball vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade | 1815 | 2229 | 2323 | 1625 | 79 92 |
Won 3 (50%)Lost 3 (50%)
LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne at home
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct2026 | LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne vs Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade | 2326 | 2316 | 2124 | 1518 | 82 84 |
| 02 Oct2026 | LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne vs Valencia Basket | 3321 | 2829 | 1626 | 1529 | 92 105 |
| 24 Sept2026 | LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne vs Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv | 1919 | 2313 | 2025 | 2217 | 84 74 |
Won 1 (33%)Lost 2 (67%)
Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade on the road
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct2026 | Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade | 1219 | 139 | 3416 | 1521 | 74 65 |
| 08 Oct2026 | Real Madrid vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade | 2719 | 2618 | 1820 | 1519 | 86 76 |
| 02 Oct2026 | FC Bayern Munich vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade | 2722 | 2024 | 1811 | 1929 | 84 86 |
| 29 Sept2026 | Paris Basketball vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade | 1815 | 2229 | 2323 | 1625 | 79 92 |
Won 2 (50%)Lost 2 (50%)
Next games
LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne
- 30 Octvs Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-GasteizASV 58%
- 05 Novvs FC Bayern Munich
- 13 Novvs Besiktas Istanbul
Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade
- 30 Octat Zalgiris KaunasZAL 67%
- 06 Novvs Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv
- 11 Novvs Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade?
- Our model makes Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade slight favourites at 53%, with a projected score of ASV 83-84 PAR.
- What is the handicap prediction?
- PAR -1.5 covers 48% of the time on our numbers; PAR is projected to win by about 1.
- Over or under?
- We project 166 total points including overtime. Over 166.5: 49%; under: 51%.
More EuroLeague games
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.