Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul prediction
EuroLeague · Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 18:00 UK
Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv are favourites at 71% (Anadolu Efes Istanbul 29%). Projected score HTA 88-82 IST: HTA by about 6, 169 points in total. HTA -6.5: 49%. Over 169.5: 50%.
By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 22:32 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.
What the numbers show
- Aviv rate 3.0 points per game better on our numbers (net +2.2 against −0.8), the biggest input in the prediction.
- Aviv are 3-1 at home this season.
- Istanbul are 1-3 on the road this season.
The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.
Winner
Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv 71% (fair odds 1.41)
Anadolu Efes Istanbul 29% (fair odds 3.42)
Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 4%.
Handicap (HTA)
- HTA -1.566%
- HTA -6.549%
- HTA -11.533%
Chance HTA wins by more than the line. Projected margin 6.
Total points
- Over 159.573%
- Over 164.562%
- Over 169.550%
- Over 174.538%
- Over 179.526%
Projected 169, overtime included.
Head to head
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan2026 | Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul | 1419 | 1924 | 1710 | 2113 | 71 66 |
| 03 Oct2025 | Anadolu Efes Istanbul vs Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv | 2221 | 2414 | 1326 | 2226 | 81 87 |
Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv won 2 (100%)Anadolu Efes Istanbul won 0 (0%)
EuroLeague table
| # | Team | GP | W | L | PF | PA | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens | 7 | 6 | 1 | 613 | 517 | .857 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul | 7 | 6 | 1 | 565 | 508 | .857 |
| 3 | Valencia Basket | 7 | 5 | 2 | 694 | 642 | .714 |
| 4 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 7 | 5 | 2 | 650 | 603 | .714 |
| 5 | Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv | 7 | 5 | 2 | 630 | 601 | .714 |
| 6 | Dubai Basketball | 7 | 5 | 2 | 597 | 584 | .714 |
| 7 | Real Madrid | 7 | 4 | 3 | 667 | 630 | .571 |
| 8 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade | 7 | 4 | 3 | 567 | 542 | .571 |
| 9 | FC Barcelona | 7 | 4 | 3 | 631 | 619 | .571 |
| 10 | Virtus Bologna | 7 | 4 | 3 | 606 | 608 | .571 |
| 11 | Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade | 7 | 4 | 3 | 551 | 553 | .571 |
| 12 | Zalgiris Kaunas | 7 | 3 | 4 | 595 | 602 | .429 |
| 13 | Anadolu Efes Istanbul | 7 | 3 | 4 | 581 | 590 | .429 |
| 14 | Besiktas Istanbul | 7 | 3 | 4 | 634 | 644 | .429 |
| 15 | Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv | 7 | 2 | 5 | 608 | 653 | .286 |
| 16 | FC Bayern Munich | 7 | 2 | 5 | 612 | 659 | .286 |
| 17 | LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne | 7 | 2 | 5 | 612 | 677 | .286 |
| 18 | Paris Basketball | 7 | 1 | 6 | 597 | 649 | .143 |
| 19 | Armani Olimpia Milan | 7 | 1 | 6 | 585 | 648 | .143 |
| 20 | Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz | 7 | 1 | 6 | 583 | 649 | .143 |
Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv: last 6 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct2026 | Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv vs Virtus Bologna | 2325 | 1323 | 2814 | 2619 | 90 81 |
| 16 Oct2026 | Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens vs Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv | 2529 | 2119 | 1520 | 2023 | 81 91 |
| 14 Oct2026 | Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv vs Besiktas Istanbul | 2218 | 2121 | 3216 | 2527 | 100 82 |
| 08 Oct2026 | Valencia Basket vs Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv | 2917 | 1823 | 2717 | 1925 | 93 82 |
| 01 Oct2026 | Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv vs Real Madrid | 2920 | 3423 | 1232 | 2723 | 102 98 |
| 29 Sept2026 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade vs Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv | 1828 | 1717 | 2422 | 2114 | 80 81 |
Won 5 (83%)Lost 1 (17%)
Anadolu Efes Istanbul: last 6 games this season
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct2026 | Anadolu Efes Istanbul vs Besiktas Istanbul | 2917 | 2819 | 1124 | 2120 | 89 80 |
| 16 Oct2026 | Zalgiris Kaunas vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul | 1221 | 2421 | 2025 | 1418 | 70 85 |
| 14 Oct2026 | Anadolu Efes Istanbul vs FC Bayern Munich | 2226 | 2428 | 2221 | 2526 | 93 101 |
| 09 Oct2026 | Olympiacos Piraeus vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul | 2616 | 915 | 2718 | 2717 | 89 66 |
| 01 Oct2026 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul | 1921 | 1815 | 1917 | 2119 | 77 72 |
| 29 Sept2026 | Anadolu Efes Istanbul vs Real Madrid | 2729 | 2612 | 1924 | 2219 | 94 84 |
Won 3 (50%)Lost 3 (50%)
Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv at home
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct2026 | Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv vs Virtus Bologna | 2325 | 1323 | 2814 | 2619 | 90 81 |
| 14 Oct2026 | Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv vs Besiktas Istanbul | 2218 | 2121 | 3216 | 2527 | 100 82 |
| 01 Oct2026 | Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv vs Real Madrid | 2920 | 3423 | 1232 | 2723 | 102 98 |
| 24 Sept2026 | Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv vs FC Bayern Munich | 2116 | 1828 | 1824 | 2718 | 84 86 |
Won 3 (75%)Lost 1 (25%)
Anadolu Efes Istanbul on the road
| Date | Teams | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct2026 | Zalgiris Kaunas vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul | 1221 | 2421 | 2025 | 1418 | 70 85 |
| 09 Oct2026 | Olympiacos Piraeus vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul | 2616 | 915 | 2718 | 2717 | 89 66 |
| 01 Oct2026 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul | 1921 | 1815 | 1917 | 2119 | 77 72 |
| 24 Sept2026 | FC Barcelona vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul | 1625 | 2919 | 1823 | 2615 | 89 82 |
Won 1 (25%)Lost 3 (75%)
Next games
Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv
- 30 Octat Dubai BasketballDUB 58%
- 05 Novvs FC Barcelona
- 12 Novat Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv
Anadolu Efes Istanbul
- 30 Octvs Panathinaikos AKTOR AthensPAN 56%
- 05 Novvs Paris Basketball
- 13 Novvs Virtus Bologna
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul?
- Our model makes Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv favourites at 71%, with a projected score of HTA 88-82 IST.
- What is the handicap prediction?
- HTA -6.5 covers 49% of the time on our numbers; HTA is projected to win by about 6.
- Over or under?
- We project 169 total points including overtime. Over 169.5: 50%; under: 50%.
More EuroLeague games
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.