Kelvin Gastelum vs Vicente Luque prediction

UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg · Saturday, 11 April 2026 · Middleweight

Kelvin GastelumUSAUSA · 21-11-0UFC wins: 3 KO, 2 SUB, 9 DEC
vs
Vicente LuqueBrazilBrazil · 24-13-1UFC wins: 8 KO, 7 SUB, 2 DEC

Result: Vicente Luque by Sub, R1 4:08.

Kelvin Gastelum vs Vicente Luque: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Kelvin GastelumUSATale of the tapeBrazilVicente Luque
21-11-0Record24-13-1
USANationalityBrazil
26UFC fights26
34Age34
175 cmHeight180 cm
182 cmReach192 cm
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
3 / 2 / 9UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC8 / 7 / 2
0 / 4 / 7UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC2 / 1 / 6
3.7Sig. strikes landed per minute4.6
3.5Sig. strikes absorbed per minute5.1
1.1Takedowns per 15 minutes0.9
0.43Knockdowns per 15 minutes0.64

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Kelvin Gastelum: last UFC fights

Won 3 (60%)Lost 2 (40%)

Vicente Luque: last UFC fights

Won 2 (40%)Lost 3 (60%)

More from UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.