Kelvin Gastelum vs Dustin Stoltzfus prediction

Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · Saturday, 13 September 2025 · Middleweight · main event

Kelvin Gastelum

USA · 21-11-0UFC wins: 3 KO, 2 SUB, 9 DEC

Dustin Stoltzfus

USA · 17-8-0UFC wins: 2 KO, 2 SUB, 1 DEC

Result: Kelvin Gastelum by U Dec, R3 5:00.

Kelvin Gastelum vs Dustin Stoltzfus: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Kelvin Gastelum	Tale of the tape	Dustin Stoltzfus
21-11-0	Record	17-8-0
USA	Nationality	USA
26	UFC fights	12
33	Age	33
175 cm	Height	183 cm
182 cm	Reach	191 cm
Southpaw	Stance	Orthodox
3 / 2 / 9	UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC	2 / 2 / 1
0 / 4 / 7	UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC	2 / 2 / 3
3.7	Sig. strikes landed per minute	3.4
3.5	Sig. strikes absorbed per minute	3.3
1.1	Takedowns per 15 minutes	2.1
0.43	Knockdowns per 15 minutes	0.26

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Kelvin Gastelum: last UFC fights

2025-06-08vs Joe Pyfer R3 5:00L DEC
2024-06-22vs Daniel Rodriguez R3 5:00W DEC
2023-12-03vs Sean Brady R3 1:43L SUB
2023-04-09vs Chris Curtis R3 5:00W DEC
2021-08-22vs Jared Cannonier R5 5:00L DEC

Won 2 (40%)Lost 3 (60%)

Dustin Stoltzfus: last UFC fights

2025-05-17vs Nursulton Ruziboev R3 5:00L DEC
2024-11-03vs Marc-Andre Barriault R1 4:28W KO/TKO
2024-06-09vs Brunno Ferreira R1 4:51L KO/TKO
2023-12-03vs Punahele Soriano R2 4:10W SUB
2022-09-03vs Abus Magomedov R1 0:19L KO/TKO

Won 2 (40%)Lost 3 (60%)

More from Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.