Jared Gordon vs Rafa Garcia prediction

Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · Saturday, 13 September 2025 · Lightweight · main event

Jared Gordon

USA · 21-9-0UFC wins: 3 KO, 0 SUB, 6 DEC

Rafa Garcia

Mexico · 19-5-0UFC wins: 1 KO, 1 SUB, 5 DEC

Result: Rafa Garcia by KO/TKO, R3 2:27.

Jared Gordon vs Rafa Garcia: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Jared Gordon	Tale of the tape	Rafa Garcia
21-9-0	Record	19-5-0
USA	Nationality	Mexico
18	UFC fights	12
37	Age	31
175 cm	Height	170 cm
173 cm	Reach	178 cm
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
3 / 0 / 6	UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC	1 / 1 / 5
4 / 2 / 2	UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC	1 / 0 / 4
5.4	Sig. strikes landed per minute	4.3
4.1	Sig. strikes absorbed per minute	4.6
1.9	Takedowns per 15 minutes	2.9
0.17	Knockdowns per 15 minutes	0.11

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Jared Gordon: last UFC fights

2025-05-17vs Thiago Moisés R1 3:37W KO/TKO
2024-06-22vs Nasrat Haqparast R3 5:00L DEC
2023-11-11vs Mark O. Madsen R1 4:42W KO/TKO
2023-04-22vs King Green R1 4:35NC
2022-12-11vs Paddy Pimblett R3 5:00L DEC

Won 2 (50%)Lost 2 (50%)

Rafa Garcia: last UFC fights

2025-03-29vs Vinc Pichel R3 5:00W DEC
2024-10-12vs Grant Dawson R2 1:42L KO/TKO
2023-04-16vs Clay Guida R3 5:00W DEC
2022-12-17vs Maheshate R3 5:00W DEC
2022-07-31vs Drakkar Klose R3 5:00L DEC

Won 3 (60%)Lost 2 (40%)

More from Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.