Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett prediction
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · Sunday, 25 January 2026 · Lightweight · 5 rounds · main event
vs
Result: Justin Gaethje by U Dec, R5 5:00.
Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett: prediction not published yet.
Tale of the tape
Justin Gaethje | Tale of the tape |  Paddy Pimblett |
|---|---|---|
| 28-5-0 | Record | 24-4-0 |
| USA | Nationality | England |
| 16 | UFC fights | 9 |
| 37 | Age | 31 |
| 180 cm | Height | 178 cm |
| 178 cm | Reach | 185 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 7 / 0 / 4 | UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC | 2 / 4 / 2 |
| 3 / 2 / 0 | UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC | 0 / 0 / 1 |
| 6.1 | Sig. strikes landed per minute | 5.2 |
| 6.6 | Sig. strikes absorbed per minute | 3.8 |
| 0.4 | Takedowns per 15 minutes | 0.8 |
| 0.64 | Knockdowns per 15 minutes | 0.34 |
Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.
Justin Gaethje: last UFC fights
- 2025-03-09vs Rafael Fiziev
R3 5:00W DEC - 2024-04-14vs Max Holloway R5 4:59L KO/TKO
- 2023-07-30vs Dustin Poirier R2 1:00W KO/TKO
- 2023-03-18vs Rafael Fiziev R3 5:00W DEC
- 2022-05-08vs Charles Oliveira
R1 3:22L SUB
Won 3 (60%)Lost 2 (40%)
Paddy Pimblett: last UFC fights
- 2025-04-13vs Michael Chandler R3 3:07W KO/TKO
- 2024-07-28vs King Green R1 3:22W SUB
- 2023-12-17vs Tony Ferguson R3 5:00W DEC
- 2022-12-11vs Jared Gordon R3 5:00W DEC
- 2022-07-23vs Jordan Leavitt R2 2:46W SUB
Won 5 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)
More from UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
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- Derrick Lewis vs Waldo Cortes Acosta
- Rose Namajunas vs Natalia Silva
- Arnold Allen vs Jean Silva
- Deiveson Figueiredo vs Umar Nurmagomedov
- Andrey Pulyaev vs Ateba Gautier
- Nikita Krylov vs Modestas Bukauskas
- Alex Perez vs Charles Johnson
- Josh Hokit vs Denzel Freeman
- Adam Fugitt vs Ty Miller
Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.