Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira prediction

UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · Sunday, 8 February 2026 · Bantamweight · 5 rounds · main event

Mario Bautista

USA · 18-3-0UFC wins: 1 KO, 4 SUB, 7 DEC

Vinicius Oliveira

Brazil · 24-4-0UFC wins: 3 KO, 0 SUB, 3 DEC

Result: Mario Bautista by Sub, R2 4:46.

Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Mario Bautista	Tale of the tape	Vinicius Oliveira
18-3-0	Record	24-4-0
USA	Nationality	Brazil
15	UFC fights	7
32	Age	30
175 cm	Height	175 cm
175 cm	Reach	179 cm
Switch	Stance	Switch
1 / 4 / 7	UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC	3 / 0 / 3
1 / 1 / 1	UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC	0 / 1 / 0
5.4	Sig. strikes landed per minute	5.2
4.1	Sig. strikes absorbed per minute	3.0
2.4	Takedowns per 15 minutes	1.3
0.29	Knockdowns per 15 minutes	0.66

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Mario Bautista: last UFC fights

2025-10-25vs Umar Nurmagomedov R3 5:00L DEC
2025-06-08vs Patchy Mix R3 5:00W DEC
2024-10-06vs José Aldo R3 5:00W DEC
2024-01-14vs Ricky Simon R3 5:00W DEC
2023-08-20vs Da'Mon Blackshear R3 5:00W DEC

Won 4 (80%)Lost 1 (20%)

Vinicius Oliveira: last UFC fights

2025-07-20vs Kyler Phillips R3 5:00W DEC
2025-02-01vs Said Nurmagomedov R3 5:00W DEC
2024-06-29vs Ricky Simon R3 5:00W DEC
2024-03-02vs Bernardo Sopaj R3 4:41W KO/TKO
2023-09-27vs Victor Madrigal R1 3:02W KO/TKO

Won 5 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)

More from UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.