Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev prediction

UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Lightweight

Grant Dawson

USA · 25-3-1UFC wins: 2 KO, 6 SUB, 6 DEC

Nurullo Aliev

Tajikistan · 12-1-0UFC wins: 1 KO, 0 SUB, 4 DEC

Result: Grant Dawson by U Dec, R3 5:00.

Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Grant Dawson	Tale of the tape	Nurullo Aliev
25-3-1	Record	12-1-0
USA	Nationality	Tajikistan
17	UFC fights	6
32	Age	25
178 cm	Height	178 cm
183 cm	Reach	183 cm
Switch	Stance	Orthodox
2 / 6 / 6	UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC	1 / 0 / 4
2 / 0 / 0	UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC	0 / 0 / 1
3.4	Sig. strikes landed per minute	2.8
2.4	Sig. strikes absorbed per minute	2.7
3.5	Takedowns per 15 minutes	2.8
0.10	Knockdowns per 15 minutes	0.05

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Grant Dawson: last UFC fights

2026-05-09vs Mateusz Rębecki R3 4:42W SUB
2025-12-07vs Manuel Torres R1 2:25L KO/TKO
2025-01-19vs Diego Ferreira R3 5:00W DEC
2024-10-12vs Rafa Garcia R2 1:42W KO/TKO
2024-06-02vs Joe Solecki R3 5:00W DEC

Won 4 (80%)Lost 1 (20%)

Nurullo Aliev: last UFC fights

2026-07-25vs Mike Davis R3 5:00W DEC
2025-11-22vs Shem Rock R3 5:00W DEC
2025-01-11vs Joe Solecki R3 5:00W DEC
2023-02-25vs Rafael Alves R3 5:00W DEC
2022-09-21vs Josh Wick R1 4:36W KO/TKO

Won 5 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)

More from UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.