Arnold Allen vs Melquizael Costa prediction

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · Sunday, 17 May 2026 · Featherweight · 5 rounds · main event

Arnold Allen

England · 21-4-0UFC wins: 2 KO, 2 SUB, 8 DEC

Melquizael Costa

Brazil · 26-8-0UFC wins: 2 KO, 2 SUB, 3 DEC

Result: Arnold Allen by U Dec, R5 5:00.

Arnold Allen vs Melquizael Costa: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Arnold Allen	Tale of the tape	Melquizael Costa
21-4-0	Record	26-8-0
England	Nationality	Brazil
15	UFC fights	10
32	Age	29
173 cm	Height	178 cm
178 cm	Reach	180 cm
Southpaw	Stance	Southpaw
2 / 2 / 8	UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC	2 / 2 / 3
0 / 0 / 3	UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC	1 / 1 / 1
3.5	Sig. strikes landed per minute	4.2
3.2	Sig. strikes absorbed per minute	3.2
1.3	Takedowns per 15 minutes	1.5
0.28	Knockdowns per 15 minutes	0.28

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Arnold Allen: last UFC fights

2026-01-25vs Jean Silva R3 5:00L DEC
2024-07-28vs Giga Chikadze R3 5:00W DEC
2024-01-21vs Movsar Evloev R3 5:00L DEC
2023-04-16vs Max Holloway R5 5:00L DEC
2022-10-29vs Calvin Kattar R2 0:08W KO/TKO

Won 2 (40%)Lost 3 (60%)

Melquizael Costa: last UFC fights

2026-02-22vs Dan Ige R1 4:56W KO/TKO
2025-12-14vs Morgan Charrière R1 1:14W KO/TKO
2025-05-17vs Julian Erosa R3 5:00W DEC
2025-03-29vs Christian Rodriguez R3 5:00W DEC
2025-02-22vs Andre Fili R1 4:30W SUB

Won 5 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)

More from UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.