Julian Erosa vs Melquizael Costa prediction

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · Sunday, 18 May 2025 · Featherweight · main event

Julian ErosaUSAUSA · 31-14-0UFC wins: 3 KO, 4 SUB, 3 DEC
vs
Melquizael CostaBrazilBrazil · 26-8-0UFC wins: 2 KO, 2 SUB, 3 DEC

Result: Melquizael Costa by U Dec, R3 5:00.

Julian Erosa vs Melquizael Costa: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Julian ErosaUSATale of the tapeBrazilMelquizael Costa
31-14-0Record26-8-0
USANationalityBrazil
19UFC fights10
35Age28
185 cmHeight178 cm
189 cmReach180 cm
SouthpawStanceSouthpaw
3 / 4 / 3UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC2 / 2 / 3
7 / 0 / 2UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC1 / 1 / 1
5.9Sig. strikes landed per minute4.2
6.1Sig. strikes absorbed per minute3.2
1.7Takedowns per 15 minutes1.5
0.21Knockdowns per 15 minutes0.28

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Julian Erosa: last UFC fights

Won 3 (60%)Lost 2 (40%)

Melquizael Costa: last UFC fights

Won 3 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)

More from UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.