Alexander Hernandez vs Rafa Garcia prediction

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · Sunday, 26 April 2026 · Lightweight

Alexander Hernandez

USA · 19-9-0UFC wins: 6 KO, 0 SUB, 5 DEC

Rafa Garcia

Mexico · 19-5-0UFC wins: 1 KO, 1 SUB, 5 DEC

Result: Rafa Garcia by U Dec, R3 5:00.

Alexander Hernandez vs Rafa Garcia: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Alexander Hernandez	Tale of the tape	Rafa Garcia
19-9-0	Record	19-5-0
USA	Nationality	Mexico
19	UFC fights	12
33	Age	31
175 cm	Height	170 cm
183 cm	Reach	178 cm
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
6 / 0 / 5	UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC	1 / 1 / 5
3 / 1 / 4	UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC	1 / 0 / 4
4.2	Sig. strikes landed per minute	4.3
4.3	Sig. strikes absorbed per minute	4.6
1.0	Takedowns per 15 minutes	2.9
0.59	Knockdowns per 15 minutes	0.11

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Alexander Hernandez: last UFC fights

2025-09-13vs Diego Ferreira R2 3:46W KO/TKO
2025-08-17vs Chase Hooper R1 4:58W KO/TKO
2025-03-15vs Kurt Holobaugh R3 5:00W DEC
2024-10-06vs Austin Hubbard R3 5:00W DEC
2024-04-06vs Damon Jackson R3 5:00L DEC

Won 4 (80%)Lost 1 (20%)

Rafa Garcia: last UFC fights

2025-09-13vs Jared Gordon R3 2:27W KO/TKO
2025-03-29vs Vinc Pichel R3 5:00W DEC
2024-10-12vs Grant Dawson R2 1:42L KO/TKO
2023-04-16vs Clay Guida R3 5:00W DEC
2022-12-17vs Maheshate R3 5:00W DEC

Won 4 (80%)Lost 1 (20%)

More from UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.