CA Mineiro vs RB Bragantino 
prediction
Brasileirão Série A · Sat, 3 Oct 2026, 22:30 UK
CA Mineiro vs RB Bragantino prediction (Sat, 3 Oct 2026, 22:30 UK): CA Mineiro 45% · Draw 28% · RB Bragantino 27%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.38–1.00. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 22:15 UK.
Both teams to score: Yes 49%, No 51%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%).
Published · Updated
Who will win CA Mineiro vs RB Bragantino?
CA Mineiro are favoured at 45%, but the draw and a RB Bragantino win together still account for 55%. Recent form: CA Mineiro DWLWDW, RB Bragantino LDLLWD (latest first).
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model leans Under 2.5 goals, at 57%; Over 2.5 is 43%.
| Line | Over | Under | Fair odds (from our probability), Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 goals | 69% | 31% | 1.44 |
| 2.5 goals | 43% | 57% | 2.35 |
| 3.5 goals | 22% | 78% | 4.59 |
Will both teams score?
Our model gives both teams to score a 49% chance: CA Mineiro score in about 75% of simulated outcomes and RB Bragantino in about 63%, and both need to happen.
| BTTS | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49% | 2.03 |
| No | 51% | 1.97 |
What are the fair odds?
Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin.
| Market | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| CA Mineiro win | 45% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.55 |
| RB Bragantino win | 27% | 3.74 |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.35 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.74 |
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sun, 3 Aug 2025 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT · Brasileirão Série AMineiro2Bragantino1Mineiro2–1Bragantino | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 16 Nov 2025 | |||||||||
| FT · Brasileirão Série ABragantino2Mineiro0Bragantino2–0Mineiro | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Wed, 4 Feb 2026 | |||||||||
| FT · Brasileirão Série ABragantino1Mineiro0Bragantino1–0Mineiro | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
CA Mineiro — last 6 matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 19 Sept 2026 | Chapecoense AF | Home | 1–1 | D |
| Sat, 12 Sept 2026 | Fluminense FC | Home | 3–1 | W |
| Sat, 5 Sept 2026 | São Paulo FC | Away | 0–2 | L |
| Sat, 29 Aug 2026 | EC Vitória | Home | 2–1 | W |
| Sat, 22 Aug 2026 | SC Internacional | Away | 0–0 | D |
| Sun, 16 Aug 2026 | Grêmio FBPA | Home | 3–0 | W |
RB Bragantino — last 6 matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 20 Sept 2026 | CR Flamengo | Away | 1–2 | L |
| Sun, 13 Sept 2026 | Botafogo FR | Away | 1–1 | D |
| Sat, 5 Sept 2026 | EC Bahia | Home | 2–3 | L |
| Sun, 30 Aug 2026 | São Paulo FC | Away | 1–2 | L |
| Sun, 23 Aug 2026 | Grêmio FBPA | Home | 1–0 | W |
| Sat, 15 Aug 2026 | CA Paranaense | Away | 1–1 | D |
What are the most likely scores?
The most likely score typically has only a 10–13% chance, so most correct-score picks lose.
| CA \ RB | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% |
| 1 | 12% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 0% |
| 2 | 9% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| 3 | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Other | 0% (any score with 6+ goals for a team) | |||||
Related
- CA Mineiro
- RB Bragantino
- Brasileirão Série A predictions
- Brasileirão Série A Home win
- Brasileirão Série A Over 2.5
- Our accuracy record
Other matches the same day
Pick = the single most likely outcome among home/away win, Over/Under 1.5/2.5/3.5 and BTTS. Shading = probability.Darker teal means a higher model probability. Bold marks the most likely of home, draw and away. ✓ and ✕ show graded results after full time.
Times in UK time| Sat, 3 Oct 2026 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:00 · Brasileirão Série A São Paulo SantosSão PaulovSantos | 42% | 28% | 30% | 46% | 51% | U3.5 75% | 72% | 25% | |