Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade vs FC Bayern Munich prediction

EuroLeague · Thursday, 29 October 2026, 19:00 UK

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade4-3 · 874%

PickRED89-82

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade are favourites at 74% (FC Bayern Munich 26%). Projected score RED 89-82 MUN: RED by about 7, 170 points in total. RED -7.5: 50%. Over 170.5: 50%.

By ProbaPredict Data Desk · published 26 Oct 2026. Updated 26 Oct 2026, 22:32 UK; frozen at tip-off. Generated by our statistical model, not a tipster. How the model works.

What the numbers show

Belgrade rate 4.0 points per game better on our numbers (net +1.3 against −2.7), the biggest input in the prediction.

The inputs where these teams differ most. The model weighs all of them together.

Winner

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade 74% (fair odds 1.36)

FC Bayern Munich 26% (fair odds 3.81)

Overtime included. Chance of overtime: 4%.

Handicap (RED)

RED -2.566%
RED -7.550%
RED -12.533%

Chance RED wins by more than the line. Projected margin 7.

Total points

Over 160.573%
Over 165.562%
Over 170.550%
Over 175.538%
Over 180.526%

Projected 170, overtime included.

Head to head

Last 6 meetings of Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade and FC Bayern Munich, points by quarter
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
06 Mar2026	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade vs FC Bayern Munich	1723	2627	2722	1013		80 85
02 Oct2025	FC Bayern Munich vs Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade	2428	2627	2716	2017		97 88
15 Apr2025	FC Bayern Munich vs Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade	2123	1823	3215	1323	139	97 93
06 Mar2025	FC Bayern Munich vs Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade	2022	3215	2518	2327		100 82
29 Nov2024	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade vs FC Bayern Munich	2519	2523	2910	2225		101 77
01 Mar2024	FC Bayern Munich vs Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade	2019	128	2119	2120		74 66

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade won 1 (17%)FC Bayern Munich won 5 (83%)

EuroLeague table

EuroLeague standings with Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade and FC Bayern Munich highlighted
#	Team	GP	W	L	PF	PA	Win %
1	Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens	7	6	1	613	517	.857
2	Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul	7	6	1	565	508	.857
3	Valencia Basket	7	5	2	694	642	.714
4	Olympiacos Piraeus	7	5	2	650	603	.714
5	Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv	7	5	2	630	601	.714
6	Dubai Basketball	7	5	2	597	584	.714
7	Real Madrid	7	4	3	667	630	.571
8	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade	7	4	3	567	542	.571
9	FC Barcelona	7	4	3	631	619	.571
10	Virtus Bologna	7	4	3	606	608	.571
11	Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade	7	4	3	551	553	.571
12	Zalgiris Kaunas	7	3	4	595	602	.429
13	Anadolu Efes Istanbul	7	3	4	581	590	.429
14	Besiktas Istanbul	7	3	4	634	644	.429
15	Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv	7	2	5	608	653	.286
16	FC Bayern Munich	7	2	5	612	659	.286
17	LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne	7	2	5	612	677	.286
18	Paris Basketball	7	1	6	597	649	.143
19	Armani Olimpia Milan	7	1	6	585	648	.143
20	Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz	7	1	6	583	649	.143

Full EuroLeague standings

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade: last 6 games this season

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade's last 6 games, points by quarter
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
22 Oct2026	Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade vs Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade	3121	2117	1312	1025	107	85 82
16 Oct2026	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade vs Paris Basketball	2818	1818	3122	1323		90 81
13 Oct2026	LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne vs Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade	2326	2316	2124	1518		82 84
08 Oct2026	Dubai Basketball vs Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade	2116	1021	1519	1221		58 77
01 Oct2026	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul	1921	1815	1917	2119		77 72
29 Sept2026	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade vs Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv	1828	1717	2422	2114		80 81

Won 4 (67%)Lost 2 (33%)

FC Bayern Munich: last 6 games this season

FC Bayern Munich's last 6 games, points by quarter
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
22 Oct2026	FC Bayern Munich vs Dubai Basketball	1429	2234	3119	2425	91 107
16 Oct2026	Besiktas Istanbul vs FC Bayern Munich	2617	2718	1623	2629	95 87
14 Oct2026	Anadolu Efes Istanbul vs FC Bayern Munich	2226	2428	2221	2526	93 101
08 Oct2026	FC Bayern Munich vs Virtus Bologna	2135	2217	2523	1919	87 94
02 Oct2026	FC Bayern Munich vs Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade	2722	2024	1811	1929	84 86
29 Sept2026	Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul vs FC Bayern Munich	3115	1916	2520	2525	100 76

Won 1 (17%)Lost 5 (83%)

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade at home

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade's games at home this season
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
16 Oct2026	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade vs Paris Basketball	2818	1818	3122	1323	90 81
01 Oct2026	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade vs Anadolu Efes Istanbul	1921	1815	1917	2119	77 72
29 Sept2026	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade vs Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv	1828	1717	2422	2114	80 81
24 Sept2026	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade vs Zalgiris Kaunas	2128	2415	1216	2024	77 83

Won 2 (50%)Lost 2 (50%)

FC Bayern Munich on the road

FC Bayern Munich's games on the road this season
Date	Teams	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
16 Oct2026	Besiktas Istanbul vs FC Bayern Munich	2617	2718	1623	2629	95 87
14 Oct2026	Anadolu Efes Istanbul vs FC Bayern Munich	2226	2428	2221	2526	93 101
29 Sept2026	Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul vs FC Bayern Munich	3115	1916	2520	2525	100 76
24 Sept2026	Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv vs FC Bayern Munich	2116	1828	1824	2718	84 86

Won 2 (50%)Lost 2 (50%)

Next games

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

FC Bayern Munich

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade vs FC Bayern Munich?: Our model makes Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade favourites at 74%, with a projected score of RED 89-82 MUN.
What is the handicap prediction?: RED -7.5 covers 50% of the time on our numbers; RED is projected to win by about 7.
Over or under?: We project 170 total points including overtime. Over 170.5: 50%; under: 50%.

More EuroLeague games

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three games in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.