Shane Nelson vs Aaron Riley prediction

UFC 96: Jackson vs. Jardine · Sunday, 8 March 2009 · Lightweight · main event

Shane Nelson3-4-0UFC wins: 1 KO, 0 SUB, 1 DEC

Aaron Riley30-14-1UFC wins: 0 KO, 0 SUB, 3 DEC

Result: Shane Nelson by KO/TKO, R1 0:44.

Shane Nelson vs Aaron Riley: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Shane Nelson	Tale of the tape	Aaron Riley
3-4-0	Record	30-14-1
–	Nationality	–
4	UFC fights	9
–	Age	28
175 cm	Height	173 cm
178 cm	Reach	175 cm
Southpaw	Stance	Southpaw
1 / 0 / 1	UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC	0 / 0 / 3
0 / 0 / 2	UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC	4 / 0 / 2
1.9	Sig. strikes landed per minute	3.3
3.0	Sig. strikes absorbed per minute	3.8
1.4	Takedowns per 15 minutes	1.5
0.32	Knockdowns per 15 minutes	0.05

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Shane Nelson: last UFC fights

2008-12-14vs George Roop R3 5:00W DEC

Won 1 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)

Aaron Riley: last UFC fights

2008-11-16vs Jorge Gurgel R3 5:00W DEC
2006-01-16vs Spencer Fisher R1 5:00L KO/TKO

Won 1 (50%)Lost 1 (50%)

More from UFC 96: Jackson vs. Jardine

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.