Renato Moicano vs Chris Duncan prediction

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · Sunday, 5 April 2026 · Lightweight · 5 rounds · main event

Renato Moicano

Brazil · 21-7-1UFC wins: 2 KO, 7 SUB, 4 DEC

Chris Duncan

Scotland · 15-3-0UFC wins: 1 KO, 3 SUB, 3 DEC

Result: Renato Moicano by Sub, R2 3:14.

Renato Moicano vs Chris Duncan: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Renato Moicano	Tale of the tape	Chris Duncan
21-7-1	Record	15-3-0
Brazil	Nationality	Scotland
20	UFC fights	10
36	Age	32
180 cm	Height	178 cm
183 cm	Reach	180 cm
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
2 / 7 / 4	UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC	1 / 3 / 3
3 / 2 / 2	UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC	1 / 2 / 0
4.1	Sig. strikes landed per minute	4.6
3.6	Sig. strikes absorbed per minute	4.4
1.7	Takedowns per 15 minutes	2.7
0.17	Knockdowns per 15 minutes	0.54

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Renato Moicano: last UFC fights

2025-06-29vs Beneil Dariush R3 5:00L DEC
2025-01-19vs Islam Makhachev R1 4:05L SUB
2024-09-28vs Benoît Saint Denis R2 5:00W KO/TKO
2024-04-13vs Jalin Turner R2 4:11W KO/TKO
2024-02-04vs Drew Dober R3 5:00W DEC

Won 3 (60%)Lost 2 (40%)

Chris Duncan: last UFC fights

2025-12-07vs Terrance McKinney R1 2:30W SUB
2025-08-03vs Mateusz Rębecki R3 5:00W DEC
2025-03-22vs Jordan Vucenic R2 3:42W SUB
2024-09-28vs Bolaji Oki R1 3:34W SUB
2024-02-25vs Manuel Torres R1 1:46L SUB

Won 4 (80%)Lost 1 (20%)

More from UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.