Rafael Natal vs Tom Watson prediction

UFC 183: Silva vs. Diaz · Saturday, 31 January 2015 · Middleweight · main event

Rafael Natal21-9-1UFC wins: 1 KO, 1 SUB, 7 DEC
vs
Tom Watson17-9-0UFC wins: 1 KO, 0 SUB, 1 DEC

Result: Rafael Natal by U Dec, R3 5:00.

Rafael Natal vs Tom Watson: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Rafael NatalTale of the tapeTom Watson
21-9-1Record17-9-0
–Nationality–
17UFC fights7
32Age32
183 cmHeight185 cm
193 cmReach185 cm
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
1 / 1 / 7UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC1 / 0 / 1
4 / 0 / 3UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC0 / 0 / 5
3.1Sig. strikes landed per minute4.0
2.5Sig. strikes absorbed per minute4.3
2.5Takedowns per 15 minutes0.3
0.35Knockdowns per 15 minutes0.17

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Rafael Natal: last UFC fights

Won 1 (50%)Lost 1 (50%)

Tom Watson: last UFC fights

Won 2 (40%)Lost 3 (60%)

More from UFC 183: Silva vs. Diaz

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.