Neil Magny vs Jake Matthews prediction

UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · Sunday, 28 September 2025 · Welterweight · main event

Neil Magny

USA · 32-15-0UFC wins: 8 KO, 3 SUB, 14 DEC

Jake Matthews

Australia · 23-8-0UFC wins: 2 KO, 6 SUB, 8 DEC

Result: Neil Magny by Sub, R3 3:08.

Neil Magny vs Jake Matthews: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Neil Magny	Tale of the tape	Jake Matthews
32-15-0	Record	23-8-0
USA	Nationality	Australia
38	UFC fights	24
38	Age	31
191 cm	Height	180 cm
203 cm	Reach	185 cm
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
8 / 3 / 14	UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC	2 / 6 / 8
4 / 6 / 3	UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC	1 / 4 / 3
3.3	Sig. strikes landed per minute	3.4
2.4	Sig. strikes absorbed per minute	2.6
1.9	Takedowns per 15 minutes	1.4
0.07	Knockdowns per 15 minutes	0.33

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Neil Magny: last UFC fights

2025-08-03vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos R2 4:39W KO/TKO
2024-11-10vs Carlos Prates R1 4:50L KO/TKO
2024-08-25vs Michael Morales R1 4:39L KO/TKO
2024-01-21vs Mike Malott R3 4:45W KO/TKO
2023-08-20vs Ian Machado Garry R3 5:00L DEC

Won 2 (40%)Lost 3 (60%)

Jake Matthews: last UFC fights

2025-07-12vs Chidi Njokuani R1 1:09W SUB
2025-02-09vs Francisco Prado R3 5:00W DEC
2024-06-02vs Phil Rowe R3 5:00W DEC
2023-11-18vs Michael Morales R3 5:00L DEC
2023-07-30vs Darrius Flowers R2 2:37W SUB

Won 4 (80%)Lost 1 (20%)

More from UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.