Nate Diaz vs Tony Ferguson prediction

UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · Sunday, 11 September 2022 · Welterweight · 5 rounds · main event

Nate Diaz22-14-0UFC wins: 2 KO, 10 SUB, 4 DEC
vs
Tony Ferguson26-11-0UFC wins: 5 KO, 6 SUB, 4 DEC

Result: Nate Diaz by Sub, R4 2:52.

Nate Diaz vs Tony Ferguson: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Nate DiazTale of the tapeTony Ferguson
22-14-0Record26-11-0
–Nationality–
27UFC fights24
37Age38
183 cmHeight180 cm
193 cmReach194 cm
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
2 / 10 / 4UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC5 / 6 / 4
2 / 0 / 9UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC2 / 3 / 4
4.5Sig. strikes landed per minute4.8
4.0Sig. strikes absorbed per minute4.3
0.8Takedowns per 15 minutes0.4
0.18Knockdowns per 15 minutes0.17

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Nate Diaz: last UFC fights

Won 2 (40%)Lost 3 (60%)

Tony Ferguson: last UFC fights

Won 0 (0%)Lost 4 (100%)

More from UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.