Nate Diaz vs Josh Thomson prediction

UFC on Fox: Henderson vs. Melendez · Saturday, 20 April 2013 · Lightweight · main event

Nate Diaz22-14-0UFC wins: 2 KO, 10 SUB, 4 DECUFC debut
vs
Josh Thomson22-9-0UFC wins: 2 KO, 0 SUB, 1 DEC

Result: Josh Thomson by KO/TKO, R2 3:44.

Nate Diaz vs Josh Thomson: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Nate DiazTale of the tapeJosh Thomson
22-14-0Record22-9-0
–Nationality–
27UFC fights7
28Age34
183 cmHeight178 cm
193 cmReach180 cm
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
2 / 10 / 4UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC2 / 0 / 1
2 / 0 / 9UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC1 / 0 / 3
4.5Sig. strikes landed per minute2.4
4.0Sig. strikes absorbed per minute3.3
0.8Takedowns per 15 minutes1.4
0.18Knockdowns per 15 minutes0.25

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Nate Diaz: last UFC fights

UFC debut.

Josh Thomson: last UFC fights

Won 2 (67%)Lost 1 (33%)

More from UFC on Fox: Henderson vs. Melendez

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.