Mauricio Rua vs Lyoto Machida prediction

UFC 104: Machida vs. Shogun · Sunday, 25 October 2009 · Light Heavyweight · 5 rounds · main event

Mauricio Rua27-14-1UFC wins: 8 KO, 0 SUB, 3 DECUFC debut
vs
Lyoto Machida26-12-0UFC wins: 7 KO, 1 SUB, 8 DECUFC debut

Result: Lyoto Machida by U Dec, R5 5:00.

Mauricio Rua vs Lyoto Machida: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Mauricio RuaTale of the tapeLyoto Machida
27-14-1Record26-12-0
–Nationality–
24UFC fights24
27Age31
185 cmHeight185 cm
193 cmReach188 cm
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw
8 / 0 / 3UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC7 / 1 / 8
6 / 2 / 4UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC3 / 2 / 3
3.4Sig. strikes landed per minute2.6
3.5Sig. strikes absorbed per minute1.7
1.5Takedowns per 15 minutes0.8
0.77Knockdowns per 15 minutes0.71

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Mauricio Rua: last UFC fights

UFC debut.

Lyoto Machida: last UFC fights

UFC debut.

More from UFC 104: Machida vs. Shogun

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.