Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov prediction

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · Sunday, 7 December 2025 · Light Heavyweight · main event

Jan Blachowicz

Poland · 29-12-2UFC wins: 5 KO, 2 SUB, 5 DEC

Bogdan Guskov

Uzbekistan · 18-4-1UFC wins: 3 KO, 1 SUB, 0 DEC

Result: Draw.

Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Jan Blachowicz	Tale of the tape	Bogdan Guskov
29-12-2	Record	18-4-1
Poland	Nationality	Uzbekistan
23	UFC fights	7
42	Age	33
188 cm	Height	191 cm
198 cm	Reach	193 cm
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
5 / 2 / 5	UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC	3 / 1 / 0
2 / 1 / 6	UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC	1 / 1 / 0
3.5	Sig. strikes landed per minute	3.6
3.2	Sig. strikes absorbed per minute	3.5
1.0	Takedowns per 15 minutes	0.3
0.35	Knockdowns per 15 minutes	0.80

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Jan Blachowicz: last UFC fights

2025-03-22vs Carlos Ulberg R3 5:00L DEC
2023-07-30vs Alex Pereira R3 5:00L DEC
2022-12-11vs Magomed Ankalaev R5 5:00NC
2022-05-15vs Aleksandar Rakic R3 1:11W KO/TKO
2021-10-30vs Glover Teixeira R2 3:02L SUB

Won 1 (25%)Lost 3 (75%)

Bogdan Guskov: last UFC fights

2025-07-26vs Nikita Krylov R1 4:18W KO/TKO
2025-01-19vs Billy Elekana R2 3:33W SUB
2024-04-27vs Ryan Spann R2 3:16W KO/TKO
2024-02-10vs Zac Pauga R1 3:38W KO/TKO
2023-09-02vs Volkan Oezdemir R1 3:46L SUB

Won 4 (80%)Lost 1 (20%)

More from UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.