Gunnar Nelson vs Bryan Barberena prediction

UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Saturday, 18 March 2023 · Welterweight · main event

Gunnar NelsonIcelandIceland · 19-6-1UFC wins: 0 KO, 8 SUB, 2 DEC
vs
Bryan Barberena18-12-0UFC wins: 4 KO, 1 SUB, 4 DEC

Result: Gunnar Nelson by Sub, R1 4:51.

Gunnar Nelson vs Bryan Barberena: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Gunnar NelsonIcelandTale of the tapeBryan Barberena
19-6-1Record18-12-0
IcelandNationality–
16UFC fights19
34Age33
180 cmHeight183 cm
183 cmReach184 cm
SwitchStanceSouthpaw
0 / 8 / 2UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC4 / 1 / 4
1 / 0 / 5UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC2 / 3 / 5
1.9Sig. strikes landed per minute5.2
3.1Sig. strikes absorbed per minute4.5
2.0Takedowns per 15 minutes0.2
0.11Knockdowns per 15 minutes0.40

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Gunnar Nelson: last UFC fights

Won 2 (40%)Lost 3 (60%)

Bryan Barberena: last UFC fights

Won 3 (60%)Lost 2 (40%)

More from UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.