Dustin Poirier vs Justin Gaethje prediction

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · Sunday, 15 April 2018 · Lightweight · 5 rounds · main event

Dustin PoirierUSA · 30-10-0UFC wins: 11 KO, 4 SUB, 7 DECUFC debut

vs

Justin GaethjeUSA · 28-5-0UFC wins: 7 KO, 0 SUB, 4 DECUFC debut

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape

Dustin Poirier	Tale of the tape	Justin Gaethje
30-10-0	Record	28-5-0
USA	Nationality	USA
32	UFC fights	16
29	Age	29
175 cm	Height	180 cm
183 cm	Reach	178 cm
Southpaw	Stance	Orthodox
11 / 4 / 7	UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC	7 / 0 / 4
3 / 4 / 2	UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC	3 / 2 / 0
5.3	Sig. strikes landed per minute	6.1
4.6	Sig. strikes absorbed per minute	6.6
1.2	Takedowns per 15 minutes	0.4
0.63	Knockdowns per 15 minutes	0.64

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.