Brock Lesnar vs Shane Carwin prediction

UFC 116: Lesnar vs. Carwin · Sunday, 4 July 2010 · Heavyweight · 5 rounds · main event

Brock Lesnar5-3-0UFC wins: 2 KO, 1 SUB, 1 DEC
vs
Shane Carwin12-2-0UFC wins: 4 KO, 0 SUB, 0 DEC

Result: Brock Lesnar by Sub, R2 2:19.

Brock Lesnar vs Shane Carwin: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Brock LesnarTale of the tapeShane Carwin
5-3-0Record12-2-0
–Nationality–
8UFC fights6
32Age35
191 cmHeight188 cm
206 cmReach203 cm
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
2 / 1 / 1UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC4 / 0 / 0
2 / 1 / 0UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC0 / 1 / 1
3.5Sig. strikes landed per minute4.2
2.4Sig. strikes absorbed per minute3.7
3.3Takedowns per 15 minutes1.2
0.46Knockdowns per 15 minutes1.45

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Brock Lesnar: last UFC fights

Won 3 (75%)Lost 1 (25%)

Shane Carwin: last UFC fights

Won 4 (100%)Lost 0 (0%)

More from UFC 116: Lesnar vs. Carwin

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.