Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes prediction

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · Sunday, 1 February 2026 · Featherweight · 5 rounds · main event

Alexander Volkanovski

Australia · 29-4-0UFC wins: 6 KO, 0 SUB, 10 DEC

Diego Lopes

Brazil · 28-8-0UFC wins: 4 KO, 1 SUB, 2 DEC

Result: Alexander Volkanovski by U Dec, R5 5:00.

Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes: prediction not published yet.

Tale of the tape

Tale of the tape
Alexander Volkanovski	Tale of the tape	Diego Lopes
29-4-0	Record	28-8-0
Australia	Nationality	Brazil
19	UFC fights	11
37	Age	31
168 cm	Height	180 cm
182 cm	Reach	184 cm
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
6 / 0 / 10	UFC wins by KO / SUB / DEC	4 / 1 / 2
2 / 0 / 1	UFC losses by KO / SUB / DEC	0 / 0 / 4
5.9	Sig. strikes landed per minute	3.8
3.3	Sig. strikes absorbed per minute	4.5
1.6	Takedowns per 15 minutes	0.9
0.29	Knockdowns per 15 minutes	0.67

Rates are from UFC fights since 2005, adjusted towards the UFC average for fighters with little UFC time.

Alexander Volkanovski: last UFC fights

2025-04-13vs Diego Lopes R5 5:00W DEC
2024-02-18vs Ilia Topuria R2 3:32L KO/TKO
2023-10-21vs Islam Makhachev R1 3:06L KO/TKO
2023-07-09vs Yair Rodriguez R3 4:19W KO/TKO
2023-02-12vs Islam Makhachev R5 5:00L DEC

Won 2 (40%)Lost 3 (60%)

Diego Lopes: last UFC fights

2025-09-13vs Jean Silva R2 4:48W KO/TKO
2025-04-13vs Alexander Volkanovski R5 5:00L DEC
2024-09-15vs Brian Ortega R3 5:00W DEC
2024-06-30vs Dan Ige R3 5:00W DEC
2024-04-14vs Sodiq Yusuff R1 1:29W KO/TKO

Won 4 (80%)Lost 1 (20%)

More from UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2

Probabilities, not promises: a 70% favourite still loses about three fights in ten. For information only, not betting advice. 18+. If gambling stops being fun, get help.