Watford FC vs Burnley FC 
prediction
Championship · Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UK
Watford FC vs Burnley FC prediction (Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UK): Watford FC 29% · Draw 28% · Burnley FC 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 44%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.07–1.35. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 17:01 UK.
Published · Updated
Who will win Watford FC vs Burnley FC?
Burnley FC are favoured at 43%, but the draw and a Watford FC win together still account for 57%. Recent form: Watford FC LLWLLD, Burnley FC DLDLDL (latest first).
Watford FC
29%
Draw
28%
Burnley FC
43%
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model leans Under 2.5 goals, at 56%; Over 2.5 is 44%.
| Line | Over | Under | Fair odds (from our probability), Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 goals | 70% | 30% | 1.43 |
| 2.5 goals | 44% | 56% | 2.29 |
| 3.5 goals | 23% | 77% | 4.43 |
What are the fair odds?
Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin.
| Market | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| Watford FC win | 29% | 3.44 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.55 |
| Burnley FC win | 43% | 2.34 |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 2.29 |
| Under 2.5 | 56% | 1.77 |
Form and head-to-head
Watford FC: last 6
Goals per game: 0.7
| Sat, 29 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FT · ChampionshipWatford1 West Ham1Watford1–1West Ham | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Tue, 1 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Championship Swansea2Watford0Swansea2–0Watford | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 5 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Championship West Brom1Watford0West Brom1–0Watford | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Tue, 8 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · ChampionshipWatford2 Preston NE1Watford2–1Preston NE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 12 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · ChampionshipWatford1 Stoke2Watford1–2Stoke | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Fri, 18 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Championship Bristol City1Watford0Bristol City1–0Watford | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Burnley FC: last 6
Goals per game: 1.0
| Sat, 29 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FT · Championship Norwich4Burnley1Norwich4–1Burnley | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Wed, 2 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · ChampionshipBurnley1 Middlesbrough1Burnley1–1Middlesbrough | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 5 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · ChampionshipBurnley1Bristol City2Burnley1–2Bristol City | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Tue, 8 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Championship Wrexham1Burnley1Wrexham1–1Burnley | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 12 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · ChampionshipSwansea3Burnley1Swansea3–1Burnley | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 19 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · ChampionshipBurnley1 Derby County1Burnley1–1Derby County | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Last 0 meetings
No previous meetings in our records.
What are the most likely scores?
1-1
13%
0-1
11%
0-0
9%
1-0
9%
1-2
9%
Related
- Watford FC
- Burnley FC
- Championship predictions
- Championship Home win
- Championship Over 2.5
- Our accuracy record
Other matches the same day
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 · Premier League Arsenal LeedsArsenalvLeeds | 62% | 24% | 13% | 41% | U3.5 79% | 68% | 21% | |
12:30 · ChampionshipWest Brom BirminghamWest BromvBirmingham | 39% | 30% | 31% | 38% | U3.5 81% | 66% | 19% | |
| 12:30 · ChampionshipSwanseaNorwichSwanseavNorwich | 44% | 26% | 30% | 54% | O1.5 78% | 78% | 32% | |