Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club 
prediction
La Liga · Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UK
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club prediction (Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UK): Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 43% · Draw 29% · Athletic Club 28%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%. Most likely score: 1-1. Expected goals 1.36–1.04. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 13:12 UK.
Published · Updated
Who will win Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Athletic Club?
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are favoured at 43%, but the draw and a Athletic Club win together still account for 57%. Recent form: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid DWLWLD, Athletic Club DDWWLL (latest first).
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
43%
Draw
29%
Athletic Club
28%
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model leans Under 2.5 goals, at 57%; Over 2.5 is 43%.
| Line | Over | Under | Fair odds (from our probability), Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 goals | 70% | 30% | 1.43 |
| 2.5 goals | 43% | 57% | 2.32 |
| 3.5 goals | 22% | 78% | 4.50 |
What are the fair odds?
Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin.
| Market | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 43% | 2.31 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.48 |
| Athletic Club win | 28% | 3.58 |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.32 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.76 |
Form and head-to-head
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: last 6
Goals per game: 1.7
| Thu, 20 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FT · La LigaRayo Vallecano1 Alavés1Rayo Vallecano1–1Alavés | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Mon, 31 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
FT · La Liga Barça5Rayo Vallecano2Barça5–2Rayo Vallecano | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 5 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · La LigaRayo Vallecano3 Santander2Rayo Vallecano3–2Santander | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 12 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · La Liga Real Madrid4Rayo Vallecano1Real Madrid4–1Rayo Vallecano | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Tue, 15 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · La LigaRayo Vallecano2 Espanyol1Rayo Vallecano2–1Espanyol | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 19 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · La Liga Osasuna1Rayo Vallecano1Osasuna1–1Rayo Vallecano | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Athletic Club: last 6
Goals per game: 1.2
| Sat, 22 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FT · La LigaAthletic1 Sevilla3Athletic1–3Sevilla | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Thu, 27 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · La LigaBarça2Athletic0Barça2–0Athletic | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 30 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
FT · La Liga Celta0Athletic2Celta0–2Athletic | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 5 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · La LigaAthletic3 Atleti0Athletic3–0Atleti | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 12 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · La LigaAthletic1 Elche1Athletic1–1Elche | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 19 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · La LigaAthletic0Alavés0Athletic0–0Alavés | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Last 2 meetings
| Mon, 25 Aug 2025 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT · La LigaAthletic1Rayo Vallecano0Athletic1–0Rayo Vallecano | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 28 Feb 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · La LigaRayo Vallecano1Athletic1Rayo Vallecano1–1Athletic | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
What are the most likely scores?
1-1
14%
1-0
12%
0-0
10%
2-1
9%
0-1
9%
Related
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
- Athletic Club
- La Liga predictions
- La Liga Home win
- La Liga Over 2.5
- Our accuracy record
Other matches the same day
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12:30 · Premier League Arsenal LeedsArsenalvLeeds | 63% | 24% | 13% | 45% | U3.5 77% | 71% | 23% | |
12:30 · Championship Swansea NorwichSwanseavNorwich | 44% | 26% | 29% | 53% | O1.5 77% | 77% | 31% | |
12:30 · Championship West Brom BirminghamWest BromvBirmingham | 36% | 31% | 33% | 37% | U3.5 82% | 65% | 18% | |