Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen 
prediction
Bundesliga · Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 19:30 UK
Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen prediction (Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 19:30 UK): Borussia Dortmund 74% · Draw 17% · SV Werder Bremen 8%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%. Most likely score: 2-0. Expected goals 2.35–0.68. Model: ProbaPredict ratings, updated Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 13:12 UK.
Published · Updated
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen?
Borussia Dortmund are clear favourites at 74%, with SV Werder Bremen at 8%. Recent form: Borussia Dortmund WWWWWW, SV Werder Bremen WDWLLL (latest first).
Borussia Dortmund
74%
Draw
17%
SV Werder Bremen
8%
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
Goals look evenly balanced: Over 2.5 is 58% and Under 2.5 is 42%.
| Line | Over | Under | Fair odds (from our probability), Over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 goals | 81% | 19% | 1.24 |
| 2.5 goals | 58% | 42% | 1.72 |
| 3.5 goals | 36% | 64% | 2.80 |
What are the fair odds?
Fair odds (from our probability) are 100 ÷ our percentage, with no bookmaker margin.
| Market | Our % | Fair odds (from our probability) |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund win | 74% | 1.35 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.82 |
| SV Werder Bremen win | 8% | 11.78 |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.39 |
Form and head-to-head
Borussia Dortmund: last 6
Goals per game: 2.3
| Sat, 16 May 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT · BundesligaWerder Bremen0Dortmund2Werder Bremen0–2Dortmund | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 29 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
FT · BundesligaDortmund2 HSV0Dortmund2–0HSV | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 5 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Bundesliga Hoffenheim2Dortmund3Hoffenheim2–3Dortmund | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Tue, 8 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Champions LeagueDortmund3 Villarreal2Dortmund3–2Villarreal | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 12 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · BundesligaDortmund3 Paderborn0Dortmund3–0Paderborn | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 19 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Bundesliga Stuttgart0Dortmund1Stuttgart0–1Dortmund | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
SV Werder Bremen: last 6
Goals per game: 1.3
| Sat, 9 May 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT · BundesligaHoffenheim1Werder Bremen0Hoffenheim1–0Werder Bremen | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 16 May 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · BundesligaWerder Bremen0Dortmund2Werder Bremen0–2Dortmund | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sun, 30 Aug 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Bundesliga Freiburg4Werder Bremen1Freiburg4–1Werder Bremen | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 5 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · BundesligaWerder Bremen3 Leipzig1Werder Bremen3–1Leipzig | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 12 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · Bundesliga Köln1Werder Bremen1Köln1–1Werder Bremen | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 19 Sept 2026 | ||||||||
FT · BundesligaWerder Bremen3 Augsburg2Werder Bremen3–2Augsburg | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
Last 2 meetings
| Tue, 13 Jan 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT · BundesligaDortmund3Werder Bremen0Dortmund3–0Werder Bremen | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Sat, 16 May 2026 | ||||||||
| FT · BundesligaWerder Bremen0Dortmund2Werder Bremen0–2Dortmund | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
What are the most likely scores?
2-0
13%
1-0
11%
3-0
10%
2-1
9%
1-1
8%
Related
- Borussia Dortmund
- SV Werder Bremen
- Bundesliga predictions
- Bundesliga Home win
- Bundesliga Over 2.5
- Our accuracy record
Other matches the same day
| Fri, 9 Oct 2026 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19:00 · Eredivisie PSV HeerenveenPSVvHeerenveen | 73% | 15% | 12% | 81% | O1.5 93% | 93% | 63% | |
19:45 · Ligue 1 Lens LyonLensvLyon | 45% | 26% | 29% | 55% | O1.5 79% | 79% | 33% | |
20:00 · Championship West Ham QPRWest HamvQPR | 59% | 21% | 20% | 65% | O1.5 85% | 85% | 43% | |