Africa Cup of Nations Over 2.5 goals Predictions & Stats
Our Africa Cup of Nations predictions cover every upcoming match with home, draw, away and Over/Under goals probabilities.
No upcoming matches with published probabilities. Next fixtures appear here once scheduled.
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What does Over 2.5 goals mean in football predictions?
Over 2.5 goals looks only at the total number of goals scored by both teams in normal time. Over 2.5 needs three or more goals. Who scores them does not matter, and extra time does not count.
Our model predicts each team's expected goals from its attacking strength and the opponent's defensive record, adjusted for home advantage and recent form. It then spreads those expectations across every scoreline from 0-0 to 10-10, applies a small correction for low-scoring draws, and adds up every scoreline that lands over the 2.5 line.
To convert the percentage into fair decimal odds, divide 100 by it: 60% becomes 1.67 and 45% becomes 2.22. Fair odds carry no bookmaker margin. A 70% over still misses roughly three times in ten, which is exactly what a calibrated model should do. The list below is ranked from the highest probability to the lowest.
These football predictions rank matches by probability while keeping the uncertainty visible.
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Frequently asked questions
- What does Over 2.5 goals mean?
- Over 2.5 goals means the match finishes with three or more goals in total, counting both teams. A 2-1 or 3-0 counts; a 1-1 or 2-0 does not.
- What does a 60% probability mean?
- If the model gives an outcome 60%, it expects that outcome in roughly 6 of every 10 similar matches. It will still not happen in about 4 of them, so a single result says little about the model.
- How do I convert a probability into odds?
- Divide 100 by the percentage. 50% becomes fair decimal odds of 2.00, 40% becomes 2.50 and 25% becomes 4.00. Fair odds carry no bookmaker margin.
- How accurate are you?
- Every pick is graded in public after full time, including the ones that lose. Hit rates, calibration and Brier scores are on our accuracy page. See accuracy
- Do you guarantee winners?
- No. These are model estimates of likelihood, not guarantees. Even well-calibrated probabilities are wrong a predictable share of the time.